Satakunta’s derbies have been in the league for a long time with odd number of goals.
Satakunta’s dominance will be twisted again on Saturday. Elmeri Elo / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
The meetings between Ässie and Luko in the League have recently been exceptionally low-scoring. In the nine previous meetings between the teams, more than four goals have never been scored in regular time.
The last time this happened was on October 21, 2022, when Lukko won in Pori 6–2. The nine games after that have been played with a goal average of 3.0 goals per game!
In the four head-to-head games this season, the number has dropped even further to just 2.5 goals per game. A betting twist to this meager scoring is brought by the fact that in the matches this season, Ässät and Lukko have been able to create almost 4.8 goals per game against each other. Even yesterday in Rauma, in the match that ended 3–0 for the home team, the expected score was 2.9-2.7 after both teams wasted goal chances in the process.
Directly waiting for yesterday, it cannot be concluded that today’s match would finally break the low scoring trend of Ässie and Luko, because the nature of the matches naturally varies from day to day. However, the readings of all the matches of the season give the possibility that today would finally break.
It’s a high-stakes match, especially as the Aces are seriously fighting to get to the playoffs. The Pori team is currently the tenth team to continue its games in the spring. KooKoo lurks behind, four points away.
In terms of their game, Ässät has won three of their five previous matches. Lukko, on the other hand, is strongly bullish, with the CHL disappointment and fatigue already behind.
Regarding the formations, Ässät will change the number one man in the goal today Niklas Rubin (92.0% / 1.97). Roope Talaja makes a comeback and gone are the first pack Martin Lefebvre as well as the attackers of the lower fields Leevi Viitala and Lassi Old House.
Lock guarding the goal, who has recently improved his grip Christopher Gibson (85.9% / 2.93). The shortcomings of the composition are the defender Kalle Ervasti and attackers Brayden Burke and Gabriel Fontaine.
In terms of power relations, the match is very close to a draw. In terms of the number of goals, I would like to seek an exception to the trend of few goals. The promised 2.06 out of 4.5 goals in the actual playing time is also quite a decent offer, but it still doesn’t hold up even as a multiplier. Maybe a place for a little excitement though.
Aces–Lukko starts at 17:00.
The best betting tip of the day
Saturday’s best bets can be found in the Championship.
In the Millwall–Preston match, the main goal line is set at 2.0 goals. I personally consider the match to be more goal-rich than that.
by Joe Edwards since taking over Millwall at the beginning of November, there has only been less than two goals in the league matches played at home. Also, the goal expectation average in Edwards’ home games is much higher in the early season (2.80).
Preston is basically a team that plays low-scoring football, but in the very last games, when they have had the whole team healthy, goals have been scored in Preston’s matches as well and expectations have been created in a matter-of-fact way. Against Leeds (2–1) the expected goals were 3.3 goals and against Bristol City (2–0) 2.9 goals.
You shouldn’t expect a goal celebration match from the Millwall-Preston match, but with a 2.0 goal line, scoring a lot of goals is almost certainly the best game choice.
18.12. appointed Sunderland manager By Michael Beale the start in the team has not been particularly rosy. Taking all competitions into account, Sunderland have won just two games out of seven under the new command. The position in the standings has changed from feeling like a promotion qualifier to the middle class.
Under Beale, Sunderland have changed their playing considerably By Tony Mowbray times more defensively victorious. Only five scored goals in seven games is too little, even if the own defense should do well.
Stoke also changed managers before Christmas. by Steven Schumacher under Stoke’s balance in all competitions is 2-3-2. Surprisingly, Stoke has also improved its defense under Schumacher. Only three goals have been scored in the four previous series games, and only 2.5 goals have been created in the goal waiting list. The last time Stoke was really unlucky after losing at home to Birmingham 1-2. Stoke won the match goal posts 22–9 and the expected 2.1–0.5.
It is quite reasonable to expect that the Sunderland-Stoke match will turn out to be a low-scoring affair. Good betting choices are both the 1.77 offered for under 2.5 goals and the 1.74 multiplier for Stoke+0.5. Both matches start at 17:00.
From the trotting side, T75-1’s “other winner” multiplier of 2.20 is a clear over-multiplier, because I myself only get a combined winning seam of just under 50% for the named top three.
Games of the day: T75-1: “other winner” (odds 2.20).
The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 11/26/71%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.