Yolanda Díaz’s unique position makes her campaign difficult and can frustrate key governments

Yolanda Diaz he reveals his plans little by little. Practically days or weeks in advance. The second vice president and leader of Sumar has been following this strategy since she obtained from the hands of Pablo Iglesias the command scepter of United We Can. Until he is at the gates, and can analyze the situation well, he does not make his next step known. He often achieves the surprise effect, but even his closest team admits that he also generates “uncertainty“. Exactly that, uncertainty, is the feeling that spreads among the formations to the left of the PSOE waiting for Díaz to decide where and for whom will you campaign electoral for the 28-M, given the fragmentation of the space in more than 14 different candidacies. Even more in those territories like Madrid, Valencia either Balearics where their absence (or presence) can thwart key governments.

Whenever she is asked, the Sumar leader avoids commenting on her plans for the electoral campaign, claiming to be focused on her project and remembering that her platform does not run for regional and local elections. Even so, on some occasion she has slipped that she will go to those territories where there is unity. The problem is that these are scarce and in practically none of them does the left risk the government. The crux of the matter is in Madridwhere Unidas Podemos and Más Madrid and Isabel Diaz Ayuso could achieve an absolute majority; or in the Valencia City Council, where Unidas Podemos and Compromís are presenting themselves, and which the PP could win.

All the formations called to join Sumar in the general elections have publicly or privately asked Díaz to support their candidates for the 28M. Podemos has been one of the more insistent. The problem this causes the vice president is twofold. On the one hand, any gesture of support for a party could unleash an internal earthquake that would eventually affect the construction of Sumar. On the other hand, if it does not get involved in the campaign, the left could cede key governments to the right.

The complexity of the choices

On the electoral board, the Community of Madrid is positioned as one of the key and most complex territories to administer for Díaz. United We Cana coalition with which the vice president managed to reach the Government, and Más Madrid will compete at the polls after the leader of the latter, Monica Garcia, will close the door to any pact. García, at the head of the opposition bloc in the Madrid Assembly, is very close to the vice presidentso it would not seem strange that she supported her in the campaign.

However, this gesture could tip the balance between the two formations, causing an internal fracture and, above all, being able to cause the purple ones -with downward polls- to be left out of the Madrid Assembly, which would favor Díaz Ayuso managed to govern with an absolute majority.

A reverse situation occurs in the Valencia City Council, currently governed by the leader of Compromís, Joan Ribo, and where the PP would be very close to achieving a majority in the next 28M. The presence of Díaz could be a revulsion to activate the leftist electorate, but the question that is asked in the environment of the vice president is for which formation to campaign: United Podem either commitment. A similar case occurs in the Balearic Islands, where the socialist Francina Armengol with Unidas Podemos and More for Majorca, thanks to external support and without having the majority. Again, Diaz would have to decide between one of these two forces.

comfortable places

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Not everything is a headache for the leader of Sumar. There are four autonomous communities where the vast majority of the forces to the left of the PSOE have concentrated on a single list: Cantabria, Castilla-La Mancha, Extremadura and Navarra. In the first two, the purples were left out of the respective regional parliaments in 2019, so Díaz’s push could make them return to the institutions. Even so, one of the most comfortable places for the vice president will be Navarra, where a coalition has been formed between Can, UI, team, Green Alliance and batzarre.

At the local level, the most favorable territory for Díaz is Catalonia, where agreement has reigned in the candidacies of En Comú Podem. The leader of Sumar has already assured that she will campaign for Ada Colau. She can also go to Malaga, Seville either Cordova, where Podemos, IU and Más País have closed agreements; oh A Coruñawhere Podemos and IU appear hand in hand on a list that Suso Díaz, a historic Galician trade unionist and none other than Díaz’s father, closes.

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