Will Real’s super acquisition backfire on his team again?

Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid suffer from injuries.

Jude Bellingham has been a real super acquisition. PDO

The most interesting game of the day

La Liga Sunday’s Madrid derby between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid will be marked by heavy line-up concerns for both teams.

In particular, the home team Atletico is in a real mess of injuries. The worst ceiling concerns the midfield, where they are missing due to various injuries Thomas Lemar, Pablo Barrios and Rodrigo de Paul. In addition I try playing condition is only assessed during the match.

When he also returned to Atletico from Las Palmas in the summer Vitolo is not fit to play, the coach has to Diego Simeone to build his engine room in time from spare parts.

In addition, Atletico’s defense is lacking Reinildo and Caglar Söyüncü.

In attack Memphis Depay has found a good goal-scoring mood, but also his playing condition will not be known until just before the match.

Depay’s absence would hit Atletico’s goal-scoring sector especially because it doesn’t Antoine Griezmann haven’t found the grain this season (only one goal in La Liga).

Even though Atletico’s 1-1 draw as Lazio’s guest this week in the Champions League was a bit of an unfortunate event, in La Liga the shortcomings were glaringly obvious a week ago when Valencia beat Atletico no less than 3-0.

Real Madrid suffer the most from their first goal scorer of Vinicius Junior of probable interference. According to the latest information, the brass player might be able to play for a few tens of minutes, but the situation will only be resolved during the match.

During the week, the difficulty of scoring was backfired on the team in the Champions League, when Union Berlin persisted in a 0-0 draw almost until the end of the match. The Madrid team managed to score a 1-0 winning goal only in the fourth minute of extra time of the match. The team was once again saved by the super signing of the summer, who has already scored five times in La Liga Jude Bellingham.

Against Berlin, Real Madrid created the expected goal by three and a half goals (3.54–0.20).

If Real gets sick, they will surely be the number one goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois and defenders Daniel Carvajal and Eder Militao.

As a result, Real Madrid’s season in La Liga has been perfect so far. The team’s balance after five rounds is 5-0-0, goals 10-3.

However, in terms of play, Real Madrid has not necessarily been quite commensurate with its results; for example, the statistics website Understat.com calculates that the team overperformed by more than five points. In my own shadow league table, there are only three points of overachievement.

Betting wise, Atletico Madrid is no longer like that underwear team, what is used to it.

However, the probable absences of the attacking ends of both teams are now eating up so much of the expected powers that the best bet seems to be under 2.5 goals with the promised 1.82 coefficient.

In the ten previous La Liga meetings between the teams, only 17 goals (1.7 per game) have been scored. At Metropolitano, the average goal per game of the previous five matches is 2.0 goals.

In terms of power relations, the betting market Veikkaus in it considers Real Madrid as the marginal (1-x-2 odds scale 2.80/3.25/2.50) favorite in the match. My own thought is somewhat similar. The distribution of the five previous derbies played at the Metropolitano is 1-2-2.

Atletico Madrid–Real Madrid starts at 22:00.

The best betting tip of the day

Sunday’s best bet is over 3.0 goals for the Arsenal-Tottenham London derby.

The strengths of both teams are currently in the attack end, and the last matches of both have been quite rich in goals. Even though it’s a battle for the top, it’s hard to imagine that the encounter between these two will be a cautious one.

The odds offered for more than 3.0 goals have dropped from 1.83 to 1.80 since Saturday, but I think that’s still an over-odds estimate of 57%. According to the track, only the coefficient already hinted at yesterday.

The match starts at 16:00.

Games of the day: Arsenal–Tottenham over 3.0 goals (odds 1.80)

The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 89/156/98%

Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.

ttn-50