The other host country will challenge Belgium and could very well organize another surprise.
Will Mykhailo Mudryk get away? PDO
The most interesting game of the day
The most interesting game of the day will be played in the European Under-21 Championship when Romania meets Ukraine.
Romania is the second host of the split games and started the tournament with a dull 0-3 loss against the number one favorite of the games, Spain. The defeat was fully deserved, as Romania was downright under the pressure for long stretches. Before the games, Romania was ranked among the bottom teams.
Ukraine, on the other hand, took a hard 2–0 victory over Croatia, which was part of the games under the black horses. Game-wise and in the light of the data, Ukraine was the more receptive side in the game, but defended successfully and finished clearly better. Of course, with a rather early lead, the picture of the game changed and Croatia got to dominate the game. Before the games, Ukraine was placed in the middle class of the Games.
What makes a match interesting? One player. Ukraine has Chelsea in its ranks for a large sum Mykhailo Mudryk. Mudryk did not succeed in the Premier League, going without a goal in 17 appearances and passing only two hits, which was clearly more than expected.
Now Mudryk would have a seam to get back on the horse and lead the team. Another dimension of interest is: will Mudryk even get off the ground in these games? Namely, in the opening game, the attacker did not even get off the ground, but watched the game from the side of the bench.
The starting point of the match is that Romania should be able to at least take a point if the team wants to advance. Of course, I would prefer a full point pot to keep my hopes alive. Ukraine, on the other hand, would like a draw – although Croatia can very well take points against Spain. Spain awaits Ukraine in the final round.
The level difference is almost three grades in favor of Ukraine. When home advantage is factored into the equation, Romania’s probability of winning remains at 25 percent. 27 are clocked for a draw, and 48 for Ukraine. With these estimates, Veikkaus’s odds do not match the game. I have estimated the expected goal value to be roughly 2.60. However, there are no game targets for goal number bets.
The most likely final results of the match are 1–1, 0–1 and 0–2.
The match starts at 19:00.
The best betting tip of the day
The best game of the day can also be found in the under-21 European Championships. Georgia will take on Belgium at home.
In the opening round of the games to be played in Georgia and Romania, Georgia surprised Portugal and took a 2-0 victory over Portugal to the delight of the home crowd. Behind the victory was a really tight defensive game. The lines were very tight, and Portugal couldn’t find a way to break it. In the last half, the Lusitanians also had to play underpowered. Georgia shot at the goal exactly twice in the match, so the finish was extremely effective.
Georgia has hit “all-in” to his counterattacks. The real surprise in Georgia’s lineup was seen when the goalkeeper who excelled in Valencia Giorgi Mamardashvili was on the bench. The hosts settled in a 5-4-1 defensive formation that is ready to break down.
Belgium, on the other hand, opened the tournament with a goalless draw with the Netherlands. The result was good, because Holland was considered one of the potential champion candidates during the Games. In addition to that, the Belgians were able to challenge Oranje to a steady turn. What worries Belgium now, however, was the scoring efficiency. How will the team be able to break through Georgia’s dense bottom floor, let alone get into the quality spots?
Home advantage must be taken into account in the match. The level difference between the teams is large, about three and a half grades. The energy of the great opening game will definitely carry Georgia and the Home crowd will give their support. From these starting points, the game has to be more even than the odds, and I also don’t think that the game is nearly as generous as the market expects. Before the Games, Belgium was ranked in the middle caste, while Georgia was ranked in the bottom of the lower middle caste.
A little game could be found in every direction Georgia’s successes and also about the unders. For Georgia’s direct win, I clock 20 percent and the division has 5.10. For a draw, Veikkaus gives 4.15, while Arvioni’s point distribution has 25 faces, so the limit coefficient would be exactly four.
Even in the Asian tie, Georgia is enough for the games. A factor of +1 for leveling is the most relevant and gets a factor of 1.77 (limit factor of 1.72), while +0.75 gives a factor of 2.04 (limit factor of 1.96).
For under 2.75 goals, the distribution is 1.87, for which my estimate is 54 percent and the limit coefficient is 1.85. For under 2.5 goals, on the other hand, Veikkaus gives a coefficient of 2.08, which exactly matches the limit coefficient.
There is no official tip for Georgia, but there is a clear advantage in handicaps, of which +0.75 gives the best expected value. So a nice little midsummer’s eve would be at hand.
The match starts at 19:00.
Games of the day:-
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.