The outstretched hand of the PSC to the Government to approve the budgetsuntil now irreducible, at least in the verbal field, despite the collection of rejections by ERCIt is not unconditional or imperishable. In fact, it will only be valid if the ‘president’ Pere Aragones accepts a trading of the accounts “in block”. That is to say, if the bet of the Executiu after the breakup with Junts ends up being to go to a extension in order not to have to count on the support of the Socialists, the response of the leader of the opposition, Salvador Ilha, It will be that he does not count on him to move forward with budget modifications to add new resources. At the moment, the only firm thing that the leader of the opposition has started after hour and a half meeting on Friday at the Palau de la Generalitat is that the PSC will be included in the round of contacts that Aragonès will open next week to explain the budget framework.
The departure of the postconvergents has turned Catalan politics into a huge chessboard. To prevent the feeling from spreading that Junts’ exodus left the Republicans at the mercy of the PSC, Esquerra, through the mouth of its leader, Oriol Junqueras, he strove to close off that waterway shouting “Esquerra will not agree with those who become living flesh in their hands, applauding the imprisonment of independentistas.”
The president’ Pere Aragones He also moved on the board, and is still in that phase, to underline, in all the forums in which he has occasion, that it makes no sense for Junts to veto budgets that one of his own, the ‘ex-conseller’ James Giro, has prepared. The intention, in this case, is that public opinion, and published opinion, do not pass the screen so quickly and try to focus the focus on the post-convergent, to make their ‘partisanship’ ugly at a serious economic and social moment. In short, that Together don’t go scot-free.
The ‘doping’ to current accounts
The movements of Junqueras and Aragonès lead to a single final scenario, the budget extension. A mechanism that the ‘president’ considers disastrous for Catalonia, given that double-digit inflation has made the current accounts useless and that, now, perhaps seemed like a technicality without further ado.
The only way to extend the budgets is to ‘dope’ them with the new games that are generated. For example, the one decided by the Fiscal and Financial Policy Council, in July, on account of the liquidation of the financing system. It is 3,100 million that, in the event of an extension, cannot be included in the accounts. And the only solution is patch 2022 budgets with complementary items.
That is to say, that the Government approved by decree to insufflate a certain amount to any public service, for example. This decision should be validated by the Parlament and within 30 days from its placet in the Consell Executiu. And at this point is where the last movement acts, that of Island. Say it, blind support by about social improvements, will not happen because, deep down, it is a ruse. And it is that the Republicans count on the fact that, in a crisis situation, no parliamentary group would veto that ‘doping’ for “responsibility”.
The Government, as if it were a test approved, on Tuesday, a supplement of 375 millionprecisely for health. It is a game that is born from the better than expected performance of the own taxes and that, in the coming weeks, it will pass through the hemicycle. As the situation has nothing to do with what would be generated with an extension for not wanting to negotiate with one of the key groups in Parliament, no major surprises are expected.
Deferred ‘No’
Either a “classic and transparent” negotiation or accounts “deferred, no”, broadcast from the socialist leadership. An all or nothing that Illa himself has also transmitted to Aragonès, with whom he met on Friday at the Palau de la Generalitat. And it is that the PSC fears that ERC opts for an extension to avoid a uncomfortable photography now that her former associates accuse her of having changed the goal of independence for an alliance with Pedro Sanchez to, later, seek the fractional support of its 33 deputies for shock plans or anti-crisis measures.
For the PSC, an extension of the budgets would mean entering into a “new stage” of a government that it considers “collapsed”. Until now and in parallel to the negotiation with CKD in Congress In order for state accounts to prosper, Illa strikes a kind of balance between offering help to Aragonès and, at the same time, playing an opposition role that allows her to become visible as the alternative. It is not trivial that, despite having polls in his favor, he rules out presenting a motion of censure or don’t ask for elections. But going to an extension, they insist, would be to cross the Rubicon and climb the decibels against an Executiu who is singled out day in and day out for not having a single ally in Parliament.
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Illa has not come to publicly assess why she considers that the Republicans veto it, but behind the scenes the Socialists argue that it would be irresponsible and reckless if what is weighing is “partisan and electoral calculations” so as not to lose negotiating strength in Madrid.
In strictly numerical terms, with a view to an eventual negotiation, the PSC has proposed to the Government a crash plan of 848 million euros – they emphasize that it is almost triple the 300 million proposed by the ‘president’ for now – that could be covered with the an additional 3 billion that the Generalitat will receive if it approves the budgets thanks to the increase in the spending ceiling. Socialists often use the argument that, without new accounts, these extra resources will fall by the wayside.