Despite the boom in infections recorded in the last 24 hours, barring last-minute surprises, Friday’s monitoring of theIss it will not lead to new color changes of the Regions. The 5 (plus 2 autonomous provinces) that already were yellow remain yellow (Friuli-Venezia Giulia, Calabria, Veneto, Liguria, Marche, the provinces of Trento and Bolzano). And no new ones should be added. But Piedmont is one step away. With the current trend of growth of shelters, the abandonment of the white zone is inevitable from Monday 3 January.
And it is likely that the inhabitants of Lazio and Lombardy will also start the new year in the yellow zone. Although it should be specified that with the obligation to wear a mask outdoors even in the white area contained in the decree approved in the CDM, there is no longer any distinction between the two areas in terms of anti-contagion measures. Beyond the fact that hospital admissions are greater in the yellow zone (over 10% of Covid patients in intensive care and over 15% in ordinary wards)
Piedmont still white by a whisker
The Piedmont (436 weekly cases per 100 thousand inhabitants) has exceeded the yellow zone threshold of admissions in intensive care (we are at 10.7 percent) but only touches that in ordinary wards (we are at 14.9%). And for this he should remain in the white zone for another week. Even if the final decision will be up to the control room. However, the color change would only be postponed. After all, the same governor Alberto Cirio a few days ago he had announced an order to bring forward entry into the yellow zone of Piedmont to Friday 24 December, taken for granted until a few days ago.
Lazio at risk of color change in a week
The is put on just a little bit better Lazio (284 weekly cases per 100 thousand inhabitants) with hospitalizations in the medical area at 14.3% and resuscitation at 10.3% (given control room). Despite the fluctuating trend of admissions, however, yellow seems inevitable in close proximity. Probably in a week. Governor Nicola himself is aware of this Gypsies who said: “The flows will probably take us to the yellow zone but it all depends on us, or on responsible behavior, such as using masks outdoors”.
Lombardy and Emilia Romagna under observation
Cases grow in Lombardy, which became with the Veneto the epicenter region of the infections (513 weekly positives per 100 thousand inhabitants). And the hospitalizations are growing. Even if the increase in beds in the ordinary wards registered a few days ago (we went from 8,485 to 10,237) made it possible to keep the hospitalization rate lower for a few days, which in any case increased to 13.7%. While in intensive care we are at 10.6%.
Hospitalizations also increasing in Emilia Romagna: above the threshold of 12.4% in intensive care. While those in the non-critical area amounted to 12.5 percent.
The trend of the Regions at risk of orange
Among the regions in yellow none really risks orange (hospitalizations over 30% in non-critical areas and over 20% in resuscitation). At least for now. The situation has stabilized in Friuli Venezia Giulia (22% in ordinary wards and 15 in intensive care).
While Liguria and Calabria, which record growing numbers in terms of hospitalizations, are still quite far from the critical thresholds. And for at least a couple of weeks they should stay in the yellow zone. In Liguria hospitalizations in ordinary wards are 24.6% and those in intensive care at 14.1%. In Calabria 25.7% and 16.6% respectively.