The number of cars in the Netherlands is increasing at a rapid pace, traffic jams are becoming longer and heavier just as quickly Car

The number of cars in the Netherlands is increasing at a rapid pace, increasing by 180,000 units last year to 9.4 million passenger cars. Traffic jams become longer and heavier just as quickly.

It is not often that so many extra cars hit the road in one year. Trade association Bovag reports, based on figures from the National Road Transport Agency, that 370,000 new cars were sold last year. 254,000 cars entered the country via import. 280,000 cars were exported. And 164,000 passenger cars were scrapped. A big net plus of exactly 180,585 cars. To illustrate: put them one after the other and you have a traffic jam from Utrecht to the Dordogne.

Remarkable

The increase is remarkable, in recent years ‘only’ around 100,000 cars were added per year. There appears to be a possibility of catching up after cars were poorly available due to corona and the high demand for computer chips. The Netherlands was already European champion with the number of cars per square kilometer and the country is slowly filling up with car tin. Ten years ago, the Netherlands had 8.2 million passenger cars and before 2030 we will be the country of 10 million cars.

“The number and importance of cars is increasing, especially outside the Randstad,” says Chiel van Lent of the ANWB. “Facilities disappear and people become dependent on the car.” For example, if medical facilities or shops disappear and public transport also decreases, then the car is the only alternative for many people.

Worried about the traffic jams

The ANWB is concerned about traffic jams in the coming years, because the existing capacity on the roads will decrease because a lot of maintenance is planned for bridges and asphalt. Due to the nitrogen problem, seventeen major projects to improve traffic flow have been halted indefinitely. “We do not need to add a lot of capacity, but the current bottlenecks, such as the Hoevelaken junction, do need to be resolved. The Netherlands can still handle the extra cars, but not in combination with postponed road works.”

Last year, the severity of traffic jams – length x duration of the traffic jam – was 17 percent higher than last year and also 6 percent higher than in 2019, the year before corona broke out.

Top crowds

Where will all those extra cars go? In the west of the country it is almost impossible

Arnoud Broekhuis of the ANWB Traffic Center

Arnoud Broekhuis of the ANWB Traffic Center predicts peak traffic on Dutch roads. Anyone who knows that the 9.4 million passenger cars also have to share the streets and lanes with around 1.25 million vans, buses and trucks will not be surprised that the number and length of traffic jams will become even greater.

Broekhuis: “Where are all those extra cars going to drive? In the west of the country it is almost impossible. Last year, South Holland experienced a growth in traffic jam severity, which is the length of the traffic jam times the duration, of 22 percent, North Brabant of 18 percent. When will the number of cars be so large that a change will occur? If you look at 2019, the last full year before corona, and last year, I arrive at an increase of 6 percent. That’s just during the day, not even during rush hour. That’s actually not too bad when you consider that hundreds of thousands of cars have been added. Working from home has a dampening effect.”

Your own car remains popular

Due to corona and the alleged risk of infection in public transport, the popularity of private cars increased enormously. Since the pandemic broke out at the beginning of 2020, 600,000 cars have been added in the Netherlands. This also set in motion a vicious circle: fewer passengers mean that the public transport supply decreases and the car becomes the only option. Public transport occupancy will not return to the 2019 level until 2028. This year, the car industry expects to once again sell 360,000 new cars.

Owning your own car remains popular. “People do not immediately sell that second car purchased during corona times,” says infrastructure professor Bert van Wee of TU Delft. “But we are still a long way from talking about a traffic jam, even if traffic jams increase by 50 percent. Traffic jams also hurt less. Many people can choose whether they travel during rush hour or not.”

Thousands of new cars are on the Nissan site in the Western Docklands of Amsterdam.
Thousands of new cars are on the Nissan site in the Western Docklands of Amsterdam. © ANP

Parking lots take up space


If you want to get people out of the car you have to prepare a combination of vinegar and honey

Traffic psychologist Gerard Tertoolen

Car expert Chiel van Lent of the ANWB: “The country is not getting bigger, while the need for homes and space is there. There are limits to the number of cars we can have, especially in urban areas where parking permits are no longer issued for new construction plans because there is no space.” Utrecht, for example, even wants to build a completely car-free district; After all, parking spaces take up space. There are now about 19 million parking spaces in the Netherlands.

It is not known where the limit lies in terms of the number of cars. For the time being, the popularity of private cars is only increasing, says traffic psychologist Gerard Tertoolen. We are in good spirits and are joining the traffic jams again this week. “That car gives freedom, convenience and independence. Especially if you live outside the big cities. My youngest daughter and her boyfriend bought their first car this weekend. Cheers in the house: ‘Finally getting rid of public transport!’ That is the feeling that many people have. The point where people leave their cars at home is still a long way off, as we see in countries where traffic jams are much greater than here. There too, people with cars get stuck in traffic jams.”

“If you want to get people out of the car, you have to prepare a combination of vinegar and honey. So ban cars from areas, make cars more expensive, charge road pricing and ensure that the alternatives improve. Then there will be cautious people who say: I no longer need that car. But the majority will not give up their objections to public transport.”

Tertoolen can imagine the arguments of the inveterate motorist against public transport. “Otherwise you have to go to the station first; the train is overcrowded, delayed or not running at all. You have to change trains, travel to and from the station by bicycle or bus. Do you know what all that costs? Then you’d rather spend fifteen minutes or half an hour in a traffic jam, but in your own cocoon with your own music and the privacy to make calls. The car is an extension of your home.”

ttn-42