Survey: Larreta leads Bullrich, but the electorate prefers firmness to dialogue

The head of the Buenos Aires government, Horacio Rodriguez Larretais the national leader with the best positive image and who would triumph in the Juntos por el Cambio internship with an advantage of up to 7 points percentages over Patricia Bullrichaccording to the latest survey by the consultancy Opina Argentina, directed by political scientist Facundo Nejamkis.

The face-to-face study was carried out between April 5 and 15 on a universe of 1,402 cases in the main urban centers of the country. and evaluated two scenarios for the Open, Simultaneous and Mandatory Primary (PASO): in both, the inmate Rodríguez Larreta would win.

In the first he would obtain 16% of the votes against 10% for Bullrich and 5% for the governor of Jujuy, Gerardo Morales. In the second, without rivals from the Radical Civic Union, Rodríguez Larreta would get 18% against Bullrich’s 11%. Besides, Together for Change would prevail as the most voted force in the primaries, in both scenarios.

In the first he would obtain 31% compared to 26% of the Frente de Todos, while third would be the libertarians of Javier Milei with 23%. In the second, he would get 29%, with 26% from the Frente de Todos and 24% from the libertarians. A closed scenario for an eventual triple tie.

However, despite the preferences of the electorate of Juntos por el Cambio for Larreta over Bullrich, the 53% of respondents prefer “firm leadership and capable of imposing their ideas”, compared to 40% who ponder a “leadership that generates dialogues and consensus”, the option embraced by the Buenos Aires Head of Government (here the female vote leans in greater proportion towards the dialogue option with a 42% versus 37% of men).

This scenario, colored by the hard votes of Mileism and even from the left, is a challenge for Rodríguez Larreta, who will surely have to change his communication strategy after the PASOin order to demonstrate firmness without closing the dialogue.

A paradox where a 65% recognize that the political rift between Kirchnerists and anti-Kirchnerists is an impediment for the country to improve; only 27% believe that these marked political rivalries do not influence the leadership of the country.

In Front of All, Sergio Massa is the favorite and could surpass Daniel Scioli by four points in the internal (12% versus 8%), where Wado de Pedro, Minister of the Interior, would get 6%. In both cases, the percentage of Javier Milei, who has no rivals in front of him, would oscillate between 23 and 24% of the votes, an important flow for the candidate of La Libertad Avanza

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