Perhaps the tastiest sure candidate of the winter is available for the standard round of the week. In destination 7, you can play the huge favorite Middlesbrough at a pretty bargain price. At least initially, Boro has been played to Vakio with less than 60 percent, although its probability of winning against Plymouth, which is stuck in a match jam at home, is clearly over 65 percent. It is difficult to find factors in favor of Plymouth in the match. In terms of material and class, Middlesbrough is a significantly stronger group than Plymouth. The home advantage should also count here, even if Middlesbrough’s own home record this season is nothing special (6–3–7, goals 17–18). The advantage is now primarily based on the fact that Plymouth is a very home-dependent and weak away team. In their 16 road games of the season, Plymouth has managed to win only one with a total balance of 1–6–9, goals 13–37.
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