La Liga has its second season in El Clásico on Sunday.
Will Vinicius Junior (right) and Dani Alves meet in Madrid on Sunday night? AOP
The most interesting game of the day
El Clásico, the latter of the La Liga season, is somewhat marked by the fact that Real Madrid have escaped the virtually unattainable championship in the series. The difference between Barcelona, which played the match less and is third in the series, is already 15 points.
Even handling a wrestling match and winning this Clásico would only raise Barca nine points away from Real Madrid when there are nine matches left.
However, the lack of a championship element does not eat up the charge of the match, as Barcelona is currently in such a good mood that Real Madrid will be able to do their best to be able to maintain their lossless (10-4-0 goals 32-9) home balance for the season.
In the first series match of the season, Real Madrid won the away team after a 1-1 finish of 1.6-1.6. Also in the January Super-Cup match, Real Madrid beat Barcelona (after a 3-2 overtime).
Compared to the first La Liga encounter of the season, Real is now facing a completely different Barcelona. Xavin after becoming Barcelona’s head coach in early November, the team’s playing has improved all the time.
Also attackers acquired from the January transfer window Ferran Torres, Adama Traore and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang have brought decisively more goal-scoring power to the Catalan team, who have also suffered injuries.
In this match, a factor in the balance of power that deserves little attention is the fact that Barcelona played in the Europa League in Istanbul against Galatasaray on Thursday. It is up to Barcelona to do some kind of stress reduction on this journey, but on the other hand, the good mood and self-confidence that comes with going further will force forces in the other direction.
Real Madrid have been able to prepare for this game in peace in their five-match winning streak. The winning streak also includes turning the 0-1 loss position in the Champions League into a semi-finals against PSG. Real’s spirit and self-confidence can also be expected to peak before Clásico.
In terms of line-ups, Real Madrid qualify for the match Ferland Mendy with the best possible crew. Barcelona on the sidelines are on defense Sergino Dest, Samuel Umtitimidfield Sergi Roberto and the attack Ansu Fati. In practice, I make almost no reduction in Barca’s playing power from these shortcomings. I believe that Barcelona, despite its strain on the European League, will be a very challenging challenger against Real Madrid on Sunday.
In terms of betting, the second El Clásico of the season is a very interesting case.
For a long time, Veikkaus took an exceptionally strong position on behalf of Real Madrid in this match. The company adjusted its odds for the match so that Barcelona had the highest odds on the market in the + 0 draw (cash back draw) all week long. And not just the highest bid, but one that clearly stands out from the rest of the market. Personally, I don’t know if it was a sporting vision or a marketing gimmick.
Now, however, in the last day, Veikkaus has dropped Barcelona’s +0 odds from 2.62 to 2.16 without any changed parameter or sporting reason. In practice, Barca was playable all week, but by no means at the current odds.
Veikkaus must have received so many stakes in Barcelona that it now has to put odds on its edge. However, if the company juggles the odds again on Sunday, then my own odds limit for Barcelona +0 is 2.40.
El Clásico starts at 10 p.m.
The best bet of the day
Sunday’s best long draw search is under 2.5 goals for a La Liga match in Seville – Real Sociedad with a odds of 1.56.
In this match, the two least-playing teams in La Liga will face. Measured on a 2.5-goal line per match, Real Sociedad is the lowest-scoring team in the series; as many as 75 percent (21/28) of its matches have ended in a score of less than 2.5. Seville is the second lowest in the statistics underat 71% (20/28).
The first match between the teams of the season ended in September in San Sebastián – a surprise surprise – 0-0. Neither team scored even one goal (0.8-0.8) in that match.
Now, in this second match, Seville will face both a winged break (several significant absences) and a tired one (it played in the European League in London against West Ham on Thursday). Even when the Europa League became a starting point, there is not even a small positive mental energy boost available for this match.
From this point of view, Seville is otherwise cautious about the games Julen Lopetegui hardly goes against Real Sociedad, at least with more aggressive tactics than normal.
I think the likelihood of a minority in the match is further increased by the fact that this is a very important game for both teams. Sevilla may have lost their chances of a La Liga championship with their two consecutive draws, but in any case, it will play from next place in the Champions League next season. Real Sociedad also still has a realistic chance of being ranked in this top four.
Veikkaus’ 1.56 offer is not quite the top of the market, but I even consider it to be a marginal multiplier with a multiplier of 1.55.
Seville-Real Sociedad starts at 7.30 pm.
Games of the day: –
The total balance of the year’s games for the year: 19/32/109%
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