There is no calm horizon Pere Aragones. Not only because of the obvious, the management of an economic situation that slowly, but relentlessly, will drown the different economic sectors and family economies, without going any further, when month after month the mortgage loans. The consult the membership that on Thursday and Friday they are going to carry out with the participation of 6,465 affiliates has no other way out, the Republicans believe, that more instability. Whatever the result.
Settled is in the collective imagination that a post-convergent exit from the Executiu, which would leave the Republicans ruling alone and parliamentary support barely a quarter of the hemicycleit would be quite a challenge for the ‘president’, the party’s strategists widen the range of possible storms.
A relevant voice of ERC predicts that any result of the consultation will lead to the post-convergent internal breakup and that this will have an impact on the Aragonès cabinet. “Those who want to leave the Consell Executiu have bet a lot and very strongly on leaving. And with debatable ways”, points out this voice that maintains that the act of the fifth anniversary of 1-O, in which the former president of the Parliament was booed Carme Forcadell, was, above all, “an attempt to intimidate these sectors over which they want to stay”. And this will have consequences.
Always in that scenario, that of the vote in favor of staying, “it will be difficult to abstract from the more than possible departure from the party of those who wanted a break with the ERC and who will not want to be complicit in the continuity of the alliance.” Also, the ANC and its civic list that, as its president stated, Dolors Feliuin that act, “will go over the parties”, they await the arrival of this most activist sector like rain in May.
In fact, that influence has already been observed in the small electoral campaign carried out by supporters of both votes. The ‘consellera’ of Foreign Action, Victoria Alsinaasserted, shortly after becoming a militant to be able to campaign in favor of continuing in the Government, that the best way “to oppose the ERC is from within the Executiu”.
One of the formulas for success, in terms of internal peace in the Government, has been the election, in its day, in May 2021, of the profiles of the post-convergent ‘consellers’, the vast majority of whom are independent figures without organic life in the match. Faithful, always to Junts, but oblivious to the internal dynamics, especially in recent months, of the progressive cooking of Aragonès’s departure from the cabinet.
One of these profiles, who has always shown great harmony with Aragonès, is the ‘conseller’ of Economy, James Giro, pointed out this Tuesday in Parliament that what worries him most at the moment, “more than ever” is the stability of the Catalan Executive to “have good budgets for this winter”. Intramural stability to weather the crisis. “Head, heart and waist”, he said at the lectern of the Catalan Chamber.
The ultimatums and the negotiations with the Republicans have caused a change in this dynamic, which has its appearance in the dismissal of Jordi Puigneró, one of the profiles, this yes, a militant of the party. This Tuesday, Aragonès, in the celebration of the weekly meeting of the Govern, has called on all its ministers to continue working “100%”, since “complex moments are coming that require maximum dedication”.
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As for the other scenario, that of Junts leaving the Government, Esquerra has made it clear that she is not afraid of governing alone. But no one escapes the fact that, with only 33 deputies, variable geometry will be an obligatory doctrine to continue the legislature. Faced with this principle of reality, the Republicans hold open conversations with the ‘commons’ to address the possible scenarios that may open up if the post-convergents consummate the rupture. The one and the other confirm that they have already exchanged impressions on the current situation, although they consider it premature to enter into the formula of these alliances. First, they insist, you have to see the result of the Junts consultation.
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ERC’s communication with Jéssica Albiach’s group is “fluid” and “frequent”, despite the fact that during the general policy debate the leader of the ‘comuns’ in Parliament announced that she was freezing the negotiation of the pending budgets whether it will be Giró who leads it or if he ends up being relieved by the departure of Junts from the Government. “There are conversations about the availability of collaboration in case the Government ends up breaking up,” explain sources familiar with the dialogue.
ERC sources in Parliament, for their part, admit the talks although they downplay the meetings. They point out that for now they have been limited to mere comments on current affairs. “It would be very daring to point out that they were something more than that,” she adds, and affirms that she is not taken by surprise “that there are those who want to give them a higher rank for giving themselves relevance.”