Pedro Sanchez he is optimistic and resilient. They are not bad qualities for a politician in the background (not Albert Rivera or Pablo Casado). Butsinned of self-confidence when at the end of the year he believed that the Budget had been approved – and the debt with ERC on sedition and embezzlement paid off – he would have a quiet first semester before the regional elections and then another (prior to the general elections) playing Macron in the European presidency?
It seems. First because sedition and embezzlement reform (little studied) caused a lot of noise and then they have come to nothing because the Supreme (Marchena and Llarena) know more criminal law than their plumbers (and their minister-altar boy of the Presidency) and they have taken revenge for the government’s neglect and, even more, for the continuous disqualifications of Podemos from the judiciary. But this is not the big problem because the ambiguous relationship with ERC continues and ERC is also an external ally. And clashing with an ally is not the end of the world.
More dramatic has been being held captive by the minority partner. The failure of the sexual freedom law has reduced the sentence of more than 500 convicted of these crimes in just four months. The only (and bad) solution was clear from day one: apologize and change the law. But Irene Montero He proclaimed, from the outset, that the law was gold, but that it was being misapplied by reactionary judges. Stupid and a good way to win friends. Sánchez was patient (with Podemos he has learned virtue), but then decided, when Montero did not make his position more flexible, that the PSOE should rectify with its own bill. If Montero were the president of Renfe (forgive me for the comparison), she would have been suddenly fired. But Montero and Belarra are Podemos. untouchables. Sánchez does not want to stop them and does not explode (he has self-control) when Belarra says that the PSOE wants to return to the Penal Code of ‘la Manada’. If you don’t stop them, bad. If he ceases them, he breaks with Podemos.
His authority as president is being greatly affected by the PSOE’s submission to Irene Montero in the ‘only yes is yes’ law and in the ‘trans law’
And there is the ‘trans law’. Gender self-determination is a sign of the times. But is it reasonable to admit, with precautions, the legal change of sex from the age of 12 and with an open bar at 16, when they still cannot vote? Many, starting with the former vice president carmen bald who abstained and was fined 600 euros, they think not. But Irene Montero demanded it. She had to swallow. And, with these two laws Tuesday in the Senate Feijóo gave two good slaps to a misplaced Sánchez. But Feijóo slipped – he remembered that of Rajoy’s cousin – when he wanted to stab him by saying: “Stop bothering good people & rdquor ;. And Spain is much more than the good neighborhoods of its cities.
With Budgets and the legislature in its terminal phase, Sánchez would do well for Podemos to leave the Government and stand alone in the face of danger (like Gary Cooper). But he does not want to (or can) because we are a few weeks away from the regional elections and it would be the public confession of a failure. He would turn red one day, but he would not be seen as a president without authority every time the sentence is reduced to a Dani Alves on duty. And he would avoid being accused by one of his ministers of defending the interests of the police, or vulture funds, when he must oppose some nonsense in the reform of the ‘gag law’ or the housing law.
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Is Sánchez condemned, by his own will or by the force of gravity, to carry on with his cross (the government with Podemos) for the remainder of the legislature? maybe. In this case there are only three scenarios. One, not very likely, who faints on the climb to Calvary. Except, of course, that Podemos does not compromise with the increase in the calculation period for pensions that Brussels requires to continue receiving European funds. The second -many polls point it out-, that the legislature ends, but a zombie arrives and loses the elections. The last is that, although exhausted, he is in a position to attempt another investiture.
Is it due then to its resilience or to the historical demerits of the PP? A survey by ‘La Razón’ on Monday says that 46.4% of Spaniards, but beware! against a very close 43.6%, they see Feijóo as the future president. But only 36.1%, against 46.9%, believe that, if necessary, they should agree with Vox.