Nardi-Paul, odds and prediction: does Luca’s dream at Indian Wells continue?

The match between Luca Nardi and Tommy Paul will be played on the night between 13 and 14 March, the first career match between the two. On March 6, the Italian tennis player was eliminated in the qualifiers of the same tournament by Goffin, putting an end to Luca’s hopes of participating in Indian Wells. Then the withdrawal of Nadal and Etcheverry, the repechage, the victory over Zhang in the second round and the feat against Nole in the third: the twenty-year-old from Pesaro thus reaches the round of 16 of the American 1000m, once again as an underdog. Let’s find out the odds and prediction for Nardi-Paul, a match valid for the round of 16 of Indian Wells.

NARDI-PAUL ODD PREDICTION: GOING TO THE THIRD SET

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With 21 winners out of 36 attempted in the match and top 50 quality, Luca Nardi beat Novak Djokovic in the third round of Indian Wells, whose odds before the victory ranged from 1.01 to 1.03. The Pesaro native thus became the tennis player with the worst position in the ranking (123) to beat Novak in a Slam tournament or in a 1000. Now in his way is the host Tommy Paul, who has not yet conceded any sets in the tournament and comes from the brilliant victory over Ugo Humbert. In terms of caliber, the American is the favourite, but after beating Nole, it is possible to expect anything from Nardi.

To repeat the feat it will be necessary to maintain the very high level of his tennis made up of variations and winning forehands, and replicate the percentages obtained with the first serve, 71% on the court and 69% conversion into points. If this were to happen, it is possible that the Pesaro player wins at least one set and, assuming that Paul does the same, takes the match to the third as he did in the two previous matches. The event in question can be played at 2.92 on Betway, 2.97 on NetBet, 3.00 on bet365, 3.15 on Snai and 3.39 on Planetwin365.

THE OTHER ODDS OF THE MATCH

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As mentioned, Tommy Paul starts as an overwhelming favorite in the match: his victory is quoted at 1.14 on Better, Goldbet, William Hill and bet365. Another sensational victory for Nardi, however, stands at 5.50 over Sisal and William Hill, 5.60 over Better and Goldbet and 5.75 over Snai. In the Set Betting market, the least quoted exact result among the four is 2-0 in favor of the American, playable at 1.45 on Better and Goldbet and at 1.50 on bet365 and William Hill. Finally, the odds relating to the Under/Over Games market are interesting: at least 21 games on the board at 1.83 on bet365, 1.90 on Snai and 1.91 on Better and Goldbet.

Read the other predictions of the week, with detailed statistics and exclusive analyzes by Gazzetta Scommesse.