On Saturday, Luka cannot afford to drop points against HPK.
Antoine Morand has not yet opened his points account in Luko. Elmeri Elo / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
The league’s playoff battle is shaping up to be a record-breaking battle this season. With a dozen matches left in the regular season, only two teams are practically out of the playoffs at this point. Correspondingly, all teams from seventh place down are still in danger of falling out of the spring climax.
In Saturday’s only HPK–Lukko match, the visiting team has both motivation and pressure. Along with SaiPa, HPK is practically the other team that has already lost its chance for the playoffs. Lukko, who has only won one three-point win in his last ten games, has also already slipped into the danger zone with his own playoff spot. Before Saturday’s match, Luko has only three points better than Ässi, who are in eleventh place in their fight for a playoff spot.
In practice, Luko is forced to take full points from matches like this, where the opponent is a team that has already lost its goal and is clearly weaker than itself in terms of material. Lukko still enters the match as a kind of question mark, it suffered a miraculous 1-6 collapse at home against KooKoo on Wednesday in a real three-point match. Although the game was more even than the result and KooKoo scored a couple of empty goals at the end, Luko’s offensive game was completely lost on Wednesday. In addition to the one scored goal, it created only two goals, even though the goal was expected. I personally believe that Luko’s coaching management woke up the team after the KooKoo game, and on Saturday we will see a more fired-up team from Rauma.
Luko is missing two of the three best scorers from the lineup due to national team orders Sebastian Revo and Tarmo Reunanen while with Leijoni on the Swedish EHT tour. It is worth paying a little attention to the one who moved from SaiPa to Lukko to Antoine Morand. Morand has now played six matches in Luko and his performance is still under scrutiny.
However, Lukko cannot escape behind the formation problems in this match, because HPK’s crew is also much lighter than the optimum at the beginning of the season. HPK is on a losing streak of eleven matches. Today, Luka also has a rest advantage after HPK played against HIFK yesterday. In terms of betting, I am strongly in favor of Lukko here because of the current base class of the teams and motivational factors. The best bet is the promised 1.57 for Luko’s actual game time win. HPK–Lukko starts at 18:00.
The best betting tip of the day
In principle, the best bet idea on Saturday can be found in the final of the Asian Cup in Lusail, Qatar. The surprise teams Jordan and the host country Qatar will meet in the final. Before the start of the tournament, Jordan’s championship coefficient was over 100 and Qatar’s was also over 10.
In terms of play, Jordan has been even better than Qatar in the tournament. That is why it is interesting that Qatar goes to the final as a clear favorite, with the actual game time odds in favor of the host country 2.00/3.05/3.75. Here, it is very difficult to estimate the size of the home advantage. In terms of games and sports, the home advantage is not huge, because Jordan also has its own supporters in the stands due to the physical proximity of the countries. However, Qatar has not always become known for its actual sportsmanship when it comes to all kinds of cabinet decisions and blunders. When a country has a chance to win a historic Asian championship in its own home tournament, at least I do not completely rule out the possibility that the so-called “all means will be used”. In my opinion, the 1.70 bid for Jordan+0.5 is a gross overestimate in my opinion. My estimate for that is no less than 62%. This is a so-called at-your-own-responsibility coupon item.
Other possible searches on Saturday are Fulham – Bournemouth over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73 (starts at 17:00), Luton – Sheffield United over 2.5 goals at odds 1.79 (at 17:00), Villarreal+0.25 against Alaves at odds 1 .85 (15.00), Real Madrid-1.25 against Girona at odds 1.96 (19.30), Las Palmas – Valencia under 2.25 goals at odds 1.69 (22.00), Ipswich – WBA over 2.25 goals at odds 1, 80 (2:30 p.m.), Hull v Swansea under 2.75 goals at odds 1.86 (5:00 p.m.), Stoke+0.25 against Blackburn at odds 1.77 (5:00 p.m.) and Sunderland to beat Plymouth at odds 1.51 (5:00 p.m.).
Today’s games: Fulham – Bournemouth over 2.5 goals (coefficient 1.73) and Blackburn – Stoke+0.25 2 (coefficient 1.77).
Total balance of the day’s games for the year: 15/36/73%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.