IMF cites some toekomst for wereldeconomie

The IMF publishes every year a prospective view of the large number of goods and services. The forecast for 2023 is the last since 2001, with application of the warnings of the corona crisis and the long term of the global financial crisis.

The group of wereldeconomie counts from 3.2 percent to 2.7 percent in 2023, before the fund. As a result, the fund has zero-covid-beleid in China, not only in the marketable market in Huizen, but there is also a rent increase in the inflation rate and the highest energy prices on the invasion of Russia in Oekraïne.

For the Belgian economy, the IMF warned that it was a year ago in Belgium: 2.4 percent, then 2.1 percent in April. The following month there will be a quick contract resulting in 0.4 percent, then the organization in April will be 1.4 percent.

Since the army is the IMF more pessimistic than the Nationale Bank, the latest forecast in Haar was 1.5 percent bbp-groei in 2023. The forecast dates from June.

In the eurozone, the rate of increase in May 2023 will be 0.5 percent. For Germany, the largest economy in the euro zone, the IMF expects that the economy will be increased by 0.3 percent in the following year.

“Kort gezegd, het ergst moet nog komen. For many mensen zal 2023 aanvoelen als een recessie”, says IMF-hoofdeconoom Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas. A recession is het geval wanneer de economic groei two quarters op rij krimpt. “We’re not in a crisis anymore, but it’s really not going well,” says Hij aan de Financial Times. That is why it says toe dat 2023 het “donkerste uur” for the wereldeconomie zou zijn.

inflation

Also the inflation is not required anymore. The IMF predicts that the future economies will amount to 7.2 percent in the next year and 4.4 percent in the following year. This is more than 1 percentage point higher than the forecast for April 2023. In the future in developing economies, this is related to the inflation that is still expected to be 10 percentage points per year, for the following year it will be 9.1 percentage points.

“The central banks are here in the front line,” says Gourinchas nog. “That’s what it is, that’s what mandate it is in its reputation. Hij waarschwt dat de monetaire authoriteiten “op koers moeten blijven” in plaats van de fouten van de jaren zeventig te herhalen, toen monetaire beleidsmakers de rente not allowed to te blijven verhogen wanneer economieën traagden of vastliepen.

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