Chelsea is a sure candidate this week.
EPA/AOP
One of the possible sure candidates for the standard round of the week is the away team of object 2, Chelsea.
Chelsea last played their best game of the season against Fulham (winning away 2–0 with an expected goal score of 1.8–1.1), even though they lacked almost a field’s worth of potential opening players. The making of Chelsea was all about being very balanced, and little by little, who was on the way to becoming a flop acquisition Myh’ailo Mudrykin managed to open his goal account for the Blues in his 21st league match.
Now against Burnley, Chelsea will have the suspended defender back in their lineup Malo Guston and the attacker by Nicolas Jackson. At least the expansion of the roster should not weaken Chelsea’s striking ability.
On Tuesday, Burnley took their first Premier League win of the season by covering a weak Luton away. In the name of truth, however, Luton was better than Burnley in that match (they also won the expected goals 1.3–1.0). At least Burnley hasn’t convinced me yet, so I put Chelsea as a pretty big favorite despite the away field. Defensively playing at home, Burnley’s home balance is quite terrible so far, 0–0–4 goals 3–12. Chelsea is good for sure under 60% played.
In object 3, I can still believe in Everton, even though the team last time managed to lose at home against Luton completely contrary to the events of the game. The match ended 1–2, although Everton took the attempts to score 23–9 and the expected goal 2.8–0.8. Now coming against Bournemouth, they haven’t got their game to work I gave Iraola under. The team is still winless in the series with a balance of 0–3–4 and a goal difference of 5–15.
For example, the statistics website Understat.com calculates that Everton was by far the unluckiest team in the Premier League this season. Instead of the four points collected, Everton should have no less than eight points more based on the events of the game! Even though Everton’s home record of the season is so far shocking 0–0–4 goals 1–5, I think a home win will happen in object 3 with more than 50% certainty – number one for sure here.
Regarding the other teams played a lot in the Premier League, I recommend confirmations for target 1 Manchester United, target 4 Fulham and target 5 Crystal Palace.
Preston, the early season surprise in the championship series, has now lost its last two matches to WBA 0–4 and Leicester 0–3. It may be that the team’s collapse course in the match rush will not be reversed very easily, when the opponent is the rising team Ipswich, which has still maintained its good form. However, I believe that the playing public will overreact to the results of the last matches and I will take both of Preston’s surprise signs as coupons.
Other tasty surprises in the Championship series are object 8 Hull, object 9 draw and object 12 Swansea.
Standard: basic line and system 288 lines (72 euros)
1. Manchester U – Brentford 11x
2.Burnley – Chelsea22
3.Everton – Bournemouth11
4.Fulham – Sheffield U112
5.Crystal P – Nottingham11x
6.Leicester – Stoke11
7.Ipswich T – Preston11x2
8.Millwall – Hullx1x2
9. Cardiff C – Watford 11x
10.Coventry C – Norwich C11
11.Leeds U – Bristol C11
12.Plymouth A – Swansea212
13.QPR – Blackburn22