Today, the Florida Panthers have a chance to run away from Toronto in the quarter-final series, already taking a 2-0 lead.
The most interesting game of the day
So far, the biggest lifter in the NHL playoffs has been the Florida Panthers, who finished eighth in the Eastern Conference in the regular season and only made it by one point.
The team has already made several “miracle rises” and is currently, based on the championship odds, already the odds-on favorite to lift the pitcher in June.
In the first round of the playoffs, the team was down 1–3 after the first four games in Boston, but survived three back-to-back games – twice with overtime wins.
In the decisive stoppage match, Florida scored a goal that entitled to overtime one minute before the end of the actual playing time. In its two overtime victories in Boston, Florida was at the bottom of the game, losing shots and goals by a total of 83–56 and 7.5–6.4.
In the first match against Toronto, Florida also clearly lost to Toronto in the key figures of the match, except for goals (4–2) (shots on goal 36–28 and expected goals as high as 5.8–2.8).
In the case of Florida, one inevitably has to ask, has the team been just lucky in its last matches, or has it really improved its playing – or rather changed it to be more suitable for the playoffs?
Both against Boston and in the first game against Toronto, Florida was pretty good at messing up the opponent’s opening and build with their skating power and top-scoring. Now against Toronto that card has been shown and used and the key question of the second match is how Toronto and its coach Sheldon Keefe able to rearrange his own game to overcome Florida’s pressure?
The captain of the team who has had a lot of discipline deserves his own side attention in raising the level of Florida Alexander Barkov. Barkov may still not be at his best game-wise, but he has still collected 1+5 in his four-game point streak. The team’s absolute key player has already finished second in the points market for the entire playoffs Matthew Tkachuk (5+9=14).
On the Toronto side, as many as seven players (Mitchell Marner, Auston Matthews, Morgan Rielly, Ryan O’Reilly, John Tavares and William Nylander) has played the playoffs at a pace of at least a point per game. From the extent of the arsenal of solutions, Toronto should count well in the encounters between this couple.
The goalkeepers of both teams (Toronto Ilya Samsonov 89.4% and Florida Sergei Bobrovsky 90.1%) are currently not among the hottest defensemen in the NHL, so the high number of goals in the teams’ matches (Toronto 6.7 and Florida 7.1 goals per game) is not a surprise. It is reasonable to assume that the matches will continue to be more likely to be high-scoring than low-scoring.
In terms of betting, Veikkaus’ main goal line for the actual playing time is a high 6.25 goals, while the over is a 1.80 favorite. Even on this line, being generous is a better game choice. However, the best search of the entire match is Toronto’s regular time win with a coefficient of 1.91. The offer is at the very top of the market.
Toronto–Florida starts at 2:10.
The best betting tip of the day
The main tip of the day starts with an ugly statistical fact. The matches between Girona and Mallorca have not really been celebrated with goals in recent seasons. In the eleven previous meetings between the teams, not once have more than two goals been scored! And seven times there have been no goals or one goal. The goal average in those eleven previous meetings between them is 1.27 goals per game.
Still, today I tip Girona-Mallorca match over 2.0 goals with a coefficient of 2.0. I base my thoughts on the fact that Girona hasn’t been/played infrequently at home this season. Of its home games, 9/16 (56%) have ended with more than 2.5 goals and 12/16 (75%) with more than 1.5 goals. The goal average in Girona’s home matches has been 3.25 goals per game.
Mallorca goes with the stamp of the team with the fewest goals in La Liga, and of course that is not a wrong view. Only 25% (8/32) of its matches have ended with more than 2.5 goals. In the very last matches, however, Mallorca has been clearly faster than average in attacking as well, and in its five previous matches a total of 17 goals have been scored.
I also reckon that it will increase the intensity of this match and possibly also the number of goals, that Girona is surprisingly close to reaching the league positions that qualify for Europe next season.
The team is not going into this home game looking for a draw, but I believe coach Michel’s tactics are brave. This also increases Mallorca’s probability of scoring an away goal. The 1.84 offered for more than 2.0 goals is, in my estimation, an odds of 56 percent.
Girona–Mallorca starts at 20:30.
Another possible search is more than 2.5 goals for the match Rayo–Valladolid with a coefficient of 1.91. This starts at 23:00.
For early bets, Burnley–Cardiff over 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.72, Norwich–Blackpool over 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.76 and QPR–Bristol City with over 2.5 goals with a coefficient of 1.79 are eligible for receipt.
Games of the day: Girona-Mallorca, over 2.0 goals (coefficient 1.84), Burnley-Cardiff over 2.5 goals (coefficient 1.72), Norwich-Blackpool over 2.5 goals (coefficient 1.76) and QPR –Bristol City over 2.5 goals (odds 1.79)
The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 48/88/92%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.