Fiorentina-Udinese, prediction: 1 + No Goal is worth 3.40

It starts with the 35th day of Serie A. Fiorentina-Udinese will be played at the Franchi: kick-off on Sunday at 3 pm. The Italian team comes from a 2-1 defeat against Basel in the first leg of the Conference League semi-finals. Sottil’s men beat Sampdoria 2-0 in the last round of the championship.

Prediction: 1 + No Goal

—

In the league, Fiorentina are unbeaten in six matches at the Franchi (W3, D3). In the last six seasons, only once have the club recorded a longer home run without defeat: between October 2021 and January 2022. Udinese have instead lost all three most recent away games without scoring a single goal. That’s why 1 + No Goal can be a good chance: 3.40 for Bet365, 3.30 for Starcasino Bet, 3.25 for Sisal.

Quotes

—

According to the main betting sites, Fiorentina are favorites to win: the 1 mark is quoted at 2.05 by Sportbet, 1.99 by Netbet and 1.98 by Novibet. The eventual success of Udinese is quoted 4.00 by Betfair, 3.71 by Daznbet and 3.60 by Vincitu. While the X is offered 3.65 for Sportbet, 3.55 on Planetwin and Novibet. The No Goal is a probable hypothesis: 2.15 for Snai, 2.06 according to Planetwin and 1.98 according to Leovegas. The two teams are the ones that have earned the most points (both nine) with goals scored in the last 10′ of the season. The Over 1.5 in the second half has a high odds: 2.10 for Leovegas, 1.99 according to Sportbet, 1.90 on Novibet.

Pay attention to the tags. Becao and Amrabat with 11 yellow cards are the most yellow cards of their respective formations. That the Brazilian defender’s name ends up in the referee’s notebook in Fiorentina-Udinese is quoted at 2.63 by the bookies. The same hypothesis for the Viola midfielder is proposed at 3.30.

The markers

—

The Friulians are the team against which Castrovilli has taken part in the most goals in Serie A (three: two goals and one assist), including his only brace which came on 25 October 2020 at the Franchi. Fiorentina-Udinese anytime goalscorer is rated 7.00 by bookmakers. Numbers in hand, only Zaccagni (16) and Milinkovic-Savic (14) have taken part in more goals than Pereyra (11: five hits and six winning passes) among midfielders this season. In the event of a goal, the Argentine scorer is offered at 6.00.

Statistics and background

—

Udinese have won three of their most recent four league games against Fiorentina (L1). The Viola also lost their last match at the Dacia Arena: 0-4, on 27 April 2022. Analyzing the statistics, however, the Friulian club did not score in three of the six most recent matches against the Italian team in the second round.