Yolanda Díaz hurries the last hours before her first exam at the polls, where she will test the transversal project that she has been promoting for the last year and a half and that has managed to unite 15 parties in the same coalition. A bet that aspired to “widen” its space beyond Podemos, and whose results will mark not only the governance of the country but the future political configuration to the left of the PSOE. The objective is to be decisive for the formation of the Government, and for this they have raised the final stretch of the campaign as a plebiscite between reissuing the progressive coalition or “Santiago Abascal as Vice President”.
The question now is whether the leadership of the Labor Minister, who has tried to build a consensus profile to attract a social majority and appeal to former socialist voters, added to the adherence of regionalist parties such as Más Madrid, los comuns, Compromís, Chunta Aragonesista or Més, manages to at least maintain the results of Unidas Podemos in 2019, when it won 35 seats. The latest surveys indicate that bipartisanship will come out stronger in the appointment with the polls, but Sumar’s objective at this time is to hold on and, above all, displace Vox from third place to be favored in the distribution of seats.
in his thirties
The sensations are good in the coalition, where they believe that in the last hours of the campaign the options to be decisive have increased. The mood is high and there is moderate optimism. Some voices suggest that In the worst case scenario, Sumar will get 30 deputies and in the best of cases it could border on quarantine. They are driven by this last phase of the campaign, with a downward Alberto Núñez Feijóo, and after gaining momentum in Wednesday’s debate, with a Yolanda Díaz who managed to stand out above Pedro Sánchez and Santiago Abascal.
In the coalition they are convinced that mobilization will be key to determining results, and on this they have focused their efforts in recent days, launching proximity actions, inviting supporters to encourage their closest circle, giving away merchandising packs or paying for Facebook advertising. They believe they have benefited from the direct confrontation with Alberto Núñez Feijóo and the reproaches for their links with Marcial Dorado, which have led them to set the agenda, gain prominence and position Yolanda Díaz as the moral leader of the progressive bloc.
They trust that, at the time that increase adherence to Add, the momentum of the conservative electorate declines, which could have been deactivated after the last week of Feijóo, which began with an error about pensions and a confrontation with a journalist, in addition to low back pain that has affected the popular leader and that has limited his appearance.
a handful of votes
In Sumar they defend that there is a “technical draw” between blocks, and that only a handful of votes can decide the future of the country. The polls have gone distancing an absolute majority of PP and Vox as the campaign progressed. This scenario open options to the coalitionwhere they think “Today there are more chances of being decisive than last week”. The objective is that: tip the balance towards the progressive bloc. The how is also clear to them: unseating Vox from third position, to benefit from the distribution of seats in the medium-sized provinces.
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In Sumar they believe that the party of Santiago Abascal no longer has so much hidden vote as it did have in its irruption, when no survey detected the force with which it would enter the institutions, reaching Congress as a third force. To this day, they consider that the Vox electorate does not hide its intention to vote and they rely on the ‘puncture’ of the formation to overtake them in third position, which favors the distribution of seats in medium-sized provinces with between 5 and 7 seats, such as Valladolid, Cantabria, Navarra, Castellón, Jaén, Huelva, Gipuzkoa, Girona or Tarragona.
In this fight they play with a certain disadvantage compared to those of Abascal, who have greater implantation in more rural provinces of inland Spain and in Castillas, where Unidas Podemos did not achieve representation in the last generals and where the polls do not give Sumar a chance either.