The andrea gail It was a fishing boat that disappeared in the storm on October 28, 1991, near Sable Island (Atlantic Ocean), between the border of the United States and Canada, immortalized in the year 2000 by the film “A Perfect Storm”.
Sergio Massa from August 2, puts his cards on the table in an all or nothing bet. He is risking his political future. As a minority partner in a coalition that today looks broken, and in a state of putrefaction, the options of the now former president of the Chamber of Deputies were complex.
If he continued in his place, he did nothing more than validate the failure of the worst president in Argentine democratic history: Alberto Fernández. If he slammed the door and walked away, he would clearly have been left a destabilizer and lonelier than ever. He chose to step forward, and as the andrea gail is about to face a perfect storm.
Massa has some things going for him and a lot against him. He is the right age where he marries experience with drive, coupled with the necessary guts and personal ambition. He knows all the ins and outs of the state, as he has been through countless roles that equip him with significant management experience.
He also has very good links, cultivated throughout his career, both internal and external, which allow him to obtain a very important degree of support in the business world, certainly not insignificant in times of crisis.
Leveraged by these supports, he managed to form a team in a short time to manage the crisis, which is clearly not the one he would have wanted: many strong names preferred not to put the body on him, but he is fit enough to try the patriate
A large part of the success or failure will undoubtedly be supported in part by the plan he designs, and in part by the work team that ends up accompanying the former mayor of Tigre. But will all this be enough to successfully weather the perfect storm he faces?
Massa has a devastating tsunami of complications ahead. The least of all is that he does not enjoy a good public image. After his strong rise in 2013 when he won the then-government candidate Martín Insaurralde in the legislative elections, everything went downhill.
The public promises of that time, later unfulfilled, remained both in the collective memory of the voters, as well as in that of Cristina Kirchner herself and her parishioners from La Cámpora, who by the way have not yet given any public sign of support.
It is a deficit that he intends to reverse with his current play. If he succeeds, he knows that his past will be behind him and he can be on his way to a presidential candidacy in 2023. If he fails, it will be his goodbye.
Argentina is a country devastated by decades of continued failure by our ruling class. It can be summarized in five large areas since within each one there are, in turn, an infinity of unresolved issues: Economy, Institutions, Security, Education and Health.
Our nation has become a peripheral and insignificant country, which today is only of interest to the world for the production of food and fuel. To understand our present, a sample button is enough: it seems incredible in this state of affairs that the Vaca Muerta gas pipeline is still a “project”.
However, the most complex problem facing Sergio Massa is Cristina Kirchner, who for nothing in the world wants to be “stuck” to what she understands as a resounding failure of “her” government. She first moved away from the management of Alberto Fernández. Then came the letters and massive resignations of officials. Later the twits that resembled torpedoes attacking an enemy ship.
Recently he had the luxury of saying that “he had no plans to scramble ministers”, in a clear demonstration of his firepower. His silences are also a deadly weapon. Silvina Batakis by case never had the public and explicit support of the majority partner of the Front of All. Why would Sergio Massa have a different treatment than Alberto Fernández already had?
For Cristina, she is the center around which her entire space must revolve. She has an ego big enough to do everything she deems necessary to not lose that centrality. For Cristina, the now superminister is a “necessary evil.” She does not want him, nor does she trust him: the audios that she made public where she, in her conversations with the now Senator Oscar Parrilli, rudely qualifies the former mayor of Tigre, are proof.
Sergio Massa has a two-edged sword in Cristina They need each other, but at the same time they distrust each other equally. And there is always a but: how long will Cristina take to show her claws if the measures taken by Sergio Massa are not to her “pleasure” or go against what she understands as her main political asset ? On the contrary, if the new minister is lukewarm in his measures, his failure is assured.
Massa, for his part, hopes to be able to turn the course of the economy in six weeks. He hopes that during this time -very short by the way- his partners from the Front of All do not come out with the top caps. He hopes that they will let him do everything he has to do, even though certain measures may be unpleasant to them.
Massa’s stabilization plan requires time and above all, that they let him work. If he fails, early elections are just around the corner. A very difficult dilemma for Cristina and the centrality of her ego, which she may end up taming due to the fear that the judicial front produces in her.
By Jorge Grispo
Lawyer specialized in Corporate Law
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