In Betfair, that Yannick Carrasco continues at Atlético is seen as the most valued option, but clubs like Chelsea, Newcastle or Milan are attentive
If there are two projects that attract a lot this summer, they are Newcastle and Milan, who have a strong economy to invest in LaLiga
Atlético de Madrid has not materialized a season as expected and perhaps we will see a more eventful summer than usual in terms of its market. The mattress team seemed to have a team to fight for LaLiga but, however, they have only managed to fight for third place. And, to make matters worse, it was in dispute until the last day. Now, the rojiblanco team is probing the market in search of new signings, but there is also concern in the Metropolitano about the future of some of the players who, within this scenario, performed well during the season. This is the case of Yannick Carrasco.
It is true that Betfair’s forecasts trust that Carrasco will stay, that his season and the faith that Simeone has put in him will make him stay where perhaps he should not have left to start a Chinese adventure from which only Cholo could rescue him. According to Betfair forecasts, Yannick Carrasco remaining at Atlético de Madrid is the most valued option and reaches an implied probability of 83.3%although important clubs worry Atlético’s intentions.
Milan, pending his departure operation
Threat that comes, for example from Italy. AC Milan, the current Serie A champion, plans to make several top-level additions to continue improving its squad, although there are several pieces that will leave the team. In addition to the inevitable departure of Kessié to Barcelona, at the end of his contract, he could also lose one of his offensive references: Raphael Leao.
In the case of the Italian club, if Leao, for example, went to a big one, (his name joined that of Real Madrid as a signing with an ideal profile after Mbappé’s no) the ‘rossoneri’ should have a plan b for if the threat of a big European is consumed. Both Maldini and Massara, strong men in Milan’s sports area, have agreed that Carrasco would be the ideal replacement, or that at least translates from certain information in Italy. Conclusion: Milan will go all out for his signing if Leao heads to another team. According to Betfair forecasts, Carrasco signing for Milan reaches an implied probability of 11.8%. It is a high probability… but it would not be the first time that the market reveals whims with the turns of situations such as that of the Belgian or Leao himself.
The Premier threats: Newcastle and Chelsea
Another project that expects great reinforcements this summer is that of Newcastle. According to British media Carrasco would be a great reinforcement in the band of the magpies. In the British press they point out that Newcastle would have to pay 50 million to get his signing. It would be the transfer that Atlético de Madrid would demand, which holds Carrasco in high esteem, but which may not refuse a sale if the offer is succulent.
According to Betfair forecasts, Carrasco signing for the Magpies reaches an implicit probability of 10%, the least valued option, although a few weeks ago it was not even contemplated. That is, forecasts see options. Perhaps the fact that Newcastle will not play in Europe next season is a key negative handicap for the English.
However, neither Milan nor Newcastle reach the confidence that Chelsea generates in the forecasts as the most valued alternative if Atlético is not Carrasco’s team next season. Thomas Tuchel is pending to rearm his left wing after the possible departure of Marcos Alonso (Barça is probing him) or the poor performance in attack of players like Romelu Lukaku and Timo Werner. In this context, Carrasco appears, who could be an ideal player to start in any band in the purest Chelsea style of recent years. That he signs for the blues reaches an implied probability of 15.4%.