From Hildburg Bruns
The black-red coalition would no longer have a majority in the Berlin parliament if elections were held next Sunday. Together, the CDU-SPD coalition only achieved 43 percent in a survey by the INSA Institute exclusively for BZ.
Kai Wegner (51, CDU) and Franziska Giffey (45, SPD) have been ruling Berlin with their parties for five months. In the first survey two months after the repeat election, the CDU was catapulted to 30 percent – now it has dropped significantly to 26 percent (-4).
The SPD (17) and the Left (10) lose slightly (-1), the Greens and FDP maintain their values from the April survey. The AfD gains five percentage points and reaches 14 percent.
For their own parliamentary majority, the CDU & SPD need 45 percent (because ten percent goes to other parties). But the former coalition of red-green-red would also narrowly miss the parliamentary majority.
That would only have a Jamaica coalition with 49 percent (CDU, Greens, FDP), a Germany coalition with 48 percent (CDU, SPD, FDP) and a Kenya coalition with 61 percent (CDU, Greens, SPD). The fact is: The CDU would have to enter into a three-party coalition.
INSA boss Hermann Binkert (58): “The current figures document a significant loss of trust in the ruling Senate, from which only the opposition AfD benefits.”
The survey institute also analyzes the potential of the parties. The CDU and SPD each have a maximum of 42 percent, with the CDU at 18 percent having twice as many safe votes as the SPD (9 percent). The Greens are not only one percentage point ahead of the SPD on the Sunday question, but also three percent ahead of the SPD when it comes to secure votes.