Between doubt and doubt as to whether the inflation will be imposed this Friday (and the whole week) at desire to shop and take advantage of offersone thing seems clear: this will not be the black friday of employment. Although about a month before the appointment infojobs advanced that its platform registered 18% more vacancies than those that had been offered for the 2021 campaigna few weeks later two large recruitment management companies released their first negative forecasts for the labor market: randstad It calculates that precisely 17% less will be hired these days than last year, and Adeccowhich also includes the Christmas campaign in its calculation, that the figure will grow, but much less than in previous years.
“Due to the inflationto the shortage of raw materials Yet the prolongation of the Russian invasion of Ukrainein our country the contracting forecasts for the Christmas and Black Friday campaign This year it stands at 8%, a moderate figure and less than the dynamism that the labor market had been showing, being one of the smallest increases in recent years,” this company contextualized in a statement. “The rise in energy prices, inflation and the difficult international context are to blame for the moderation in hiring forecasts,” also justified the director of Randstad Research, Valentine Boat.
In Catalonia specifically, the first company estimates that around 170,000 contracts will be signed between November and January, 9% more than the previous year, and the second, which looks only at contracts directly related to the black friday and the cyber mondaythat this campaign will generate approximately 5,500 job registrations, 18% less than in 2021. Both agree, however, that it will be the second community where more contracts are signed.
At Infojobs, however, optimism prevails. “Despite the current inflationary context that our country is going through at the moment, commerce needs consumption to be reactivated in the next Christmas season,” justifies the Director of Communication and Studies of this job search portal, Monica Perez. “That is why companies have already begun to prepare for Black Friday, so that, almost in all probability, this year’s campaign will be even more active than that of 2021, to boost sales,” stresses the company. same.
Logistics pull the cart
According to his x-ray, the areas that already presented the most vacancies at the beginning of the month were, first of all, shopping stalls, Logistics Y warehouse; in second place, Customer Support; and then the retail. And in this case, the ranking is practically identical to that of the other two companies.
Related news
“Although we expect recruitment to drop this year due to the current uncertainty scenario, these data are good news, as they will once again indicate the great state of form in the logistics sectorthe consolidation of electronic commerce in our country and will mark the prelude to a Christmas campaign that could be very positive,” concludes Bote.
In any case, his own logistics sector anticipates a campaign of lesser bellows: the UN Business Organization for Logistics and Transport already warned at the end of October that it anticipated 5% fewer orders during the black friday and the pre-Christmas season. “The unresolved inflationary spiral in which we are involved, the contraction in consumption derived from the reduction in the purchasing power of families and the fall in investment have already been felt in our sector,” explained his President, Francisco Aranda. “This situation, of course, will have a direct impact on the big peak demand campaigns this year,” he said.