Bad news for Aces under a tough game

The Jukurit–Ässät match has big stakes.

Niklas Rubin is still on the sidelines from Ässie’s goal. Elmeri Elo / AOP

The most interesting game of the day

The end of the league’s regular season offers high-stakes games from night to night. The settings for the Jukurit–Ässät match are clear. The Jukurits play for home advantage in the quarterfinals and the Ässät play for the playoffs.

The most significant composition factor of the match is Ässie’s number one goalkeeper Niklas Rubin (91.6% / 2.14) still absent from the Pori team. The return of the number one defenseman, who suffered from illnesses, was already possible for this game, but it turned out differently.

Ässien continues with a goal against SaiPa yesterday after saving a clean sheet Karolus Kaarlehto (89.5% / 2.46). Although Rubin is statistically better than guards, this factor should not be overreacted.

Otherwise, Ässät gets into the game with a very strong lineup. Jukurei has the best possible crew at its disposal.

The Ässäs have won two and the Jukurits one of the previous matches in the season. Somewhat surprisingly, Ässät has taken the shots from previous matches 154-148 and the expected goal 8.4-7.3.

Jukurei should calculate a small rest advantage after Ässie played against SaiPa yesterday. Sportingly, I’m in favor of Jukurit here, despite the Ässät-driven balance of the season.

In terms of betting, the Jukurits with Ässien Rubin (and with a clearly higher odds) would have enjoyed the games much better than the current situation. The 1.50 multiplier now offered for Jukurie’s actual game time win is a bit unnecessarily low even for a coupon item. Jukurit–Ässät starts at 18:30.

The best betting tip of the day

The best bet idea for Wednesday can be found in Mesti’s Jokerit–KeuPa HT match. Here, only one team has anything left to play in the regular season.

Jokerit is sure to be third in the regular season, regardless of the result of this match. KeuPa, on the other hand, is still fighting with Koovee for the last playoff spot. When Koovee has one match left and KeuPa has two games, the people of Tampere are one point ahead of KeuPa.

In the Jokerit–KeuPa HT match, the motivation factors are maximally on the away team’s side. Jokerit is much ahead of KeuPa HT in terms of basic class, but very often this type of matches remain at least even until the end.

Veikkaus’ odds offer for the match is, to say the least, strange, as there is only one (+3.5 / -3.5) handicap line available. Without a doubt, KeuPa HT is interesting in that line, even though the coefficient is only 1.46, but it would be much better to have a leveling of +2.5 with a significantly higher coefficient.

The tip of the current line is mathematically quite good (estimate 70%), but it still doesn’t taste good until the tag due to the smallness of the coefficient. Jokerit–KeuPa HT starts at 18:30.

For early bets, the 1.87 offered for the Crystal Palace–Luton match over 2.5 goals is valid for the coupon. The match will be played on Saturday.

Games of the day: Crystal Palace – Luto over 2.5 goals (odds 1.87).

The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 34/70/86%

Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.

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