The match rush can also affect the Aces’ playing today.
Tomi Natri / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
This season, the league’s regular season victory battle will take place between two teams from Tampere.
Today, Ilves can increase the gap to Tappara to four points with a victory over Äss in regular time. However, it is worth noting that Tappara has three more regular season matches left after tonight than Ilves.
Aces’ contribution in tonight’s game is even greater than Ilve’s, as the team is one point away from the playoff line.
The match is also important for the victory of the Liiga points exchange. The one at the top of the point Jerry from Turku the one behind Oula Palve today, because of Ilves’s great favorite position, he has good opportunities to increase his own score. Palve’s points accumulated in the previous five matches is 2+6=8.
In the mutual encounters between Ilves and Ässi, a playful trend towards Ilves can be observed. The first two matches of the season were played right from the beginning of autumn in Pori. 13.9. Ilves claimed the points with a 4–3 away win. However, the shots in the match went to the people of Pori 54–36 and the expected goal score was 4.0–2.5. Also, the match played in Pori on 13.10 (3–2 for Äss with winning shots) was controlled by Äss (shots 58–38 and expected 2.6–1.5). Ässät won the match played in Tampere before Christmas 2–1 after extra time, but now the expected score was already 3.6–1.6 for Ilves.
In terms of play, Ilves has progressed more than Ässi over the course of the season, and at the moment there is a significant difference in playing power in favor of the people of Tampere.
The factor that most affects the result of the evening’s match is Ilves loading/igniting the game. The team can get to this with the optimal rhythm of three days off, and when the next game isn’t until Friday, there shouldn’t be any obstacles to a high-quality performance.
Aces, on the other hand, are currently suffering from a more or less fast pace of play. On Sunday, the team simply ran out of gas against TPS and the result was a 1-4 home loss. Tonight’s match is Ässi’s fourth in six days. There is no need to make any shocking deductions from this, but if Ilves is on the move with his best possible foot, then Ässi has something to do to stay on board.
Ilves gets to the match practically with its best possible crew. There are currently enough good players to recycle. Aces are lacking in attack Jan-Mikael Järvinen, Juuso Ikonen and Kasperi Ojantakanen in absence.
As far as power relations are concerned, Ilves is already about 62% winners in actual game time.
In terms of the number of goals, Ässät has by far been the team with the fewest goals in the League, both 4.5 goals and 5.5 goals per match, measured in both matches and away matches. This forcefully twists the number of goals in this match as well, even though Ilves belongs to the half of the team with more goals in the series.
Ilves–Ässät starts at 18:30.
The top of the league’s point exchange:
1. Jerry Turkulainen (JYP) 21+39=60
2. Oula Palve (Ilves) 18+41=59
3. Eemeli Finland (Ilves) 21+33=54
4. Anton Levtchi (Tappara) 17+37=54
5. Jori Lehterä (HIFK) 6+47=53
6. Teemu Turunen (Kärpät) 28+24=52
The best betting tip of the day
Even though Ässi basically has more input than Ilve in tonight’s match, the home team still has the advantage in terms of betting. Relatively speaking, the best offer is the promised 1.58 multiplier for Ilves’ actual game time win.
Games of the day: Ilves–Aces 1 (coefficient 1.58)
The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 27/60/80%
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