Sinner Number 1: here is to where he can arrive

Jannik Sinner increasingly number one, and after the success against Alexander Zverev in the final and his reconfirmation at the Australian Open, his domain in the standings risks becoming, for others, a real tyranny. The Italian leaves Melbourne with 11,830 points, the same ones with which he had entered, with a huge advantage of 3695 points against Zverev, stopped at 8135. The German still gnawed 500 points against Sinner, given that in 2024 Sasha He had stopped in the semifinal, beaten in five sets by Daniil Medvedev. The advantage over number 3, Carlos Alcaraz, released in the quarterfinals (exactly like 2024) remains unchanged at 4120 points. With 34 weeks, Jannik Sinner is in seventeenth place as weeks of number one in the world, behind Carlos Alcaraz, stopped at 36. A question of time: the Italian will certainly climb the Spanish rival, with the overtaking set day 17 February, when the Week n.37 from n.1 for the South Tyrolean.

The next appointments

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But how far can Jannik arrive? Sinner’s 2024 loot of points, as we know, has been enormous, and therefore defending it will not be simple, but on the other hand it has made so many points compared to rivals (which they have not, for their part, made sfracelli) that for Losing it all and to risk losing the throne, right now, Jannik should really make disasters. Also because, once the 2000 points of the Australian Open defended, which was the most difficult part of this first glimpse of the season, from here to April Sinner has “only” another 1500 points to defend, namely the victory of Rotterdam and that of Miami last year. The Italian will have nothing to defend in Indian Wells, where the points of the semifinal 2024 have been points out due to the well -known events inherent in accidental doping positivity. Zverev will have to defend just over 1000 points in all, while Alcaraz will have to defend 1300 in all, with the victory of Indian Wells of 2024. According to things, any attack on Sinner’s No. 1 from here until at least at the end of Miami It is out of the question, but also wanting to project further ahead, or to the season on Earth, the Primato of Jannik seems out of everyone’s reach, given that the blue has much less points to defend (and much more to earn, therefore), compared In Alcaraz and Zverev. Sinner on Red, from April to June, will have to defend “only” 1400 points, against the 2880 points of Zverev and 2200 in Alcaraz. Therefore, even after the earth, a overtaking seems truly truly unlikely, seen and considered the current advantage of Italian.

The numbers

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So, wanting to stay with the feet on the ground, Jannik should serenely stay at the top at least until after Paris, climbing to June 9th at 53 weeks and overcoming, in the ranking of all time, Ilie Nastase (40), Andy Murray (41) , Gustavo Kuerten (43), going up to thirteenth place of all time. Next objective would therefore be the 58 weeks of Courier, even the absolutely feasible ones, given that even in the season on the Erba Sinner has not many points to defend (900), however more than Zverev (400) but much less than Alcaraz (2050 ). After Courier, there would be Stefan Edberg, in the eleventh All time place, at 72. To overcome the Swedish, however, Jannik should remain n.1 until 27 October, therefore well beyond after the US Open. Remaining throughout 2025 at the top of the ranking without interruption, which we all hope, Sinner would enter the top 10 of all time, also exceeding Lleyton Hewitt, stopped at an altitude of 80. Calcoli, numbers and hopes obviously waiting for the Tas sentence on the Wada appeal, which will arrive in April, immediately after Miami and who could force Jannik to stay out for a long time. Unlikely but unfortunately not impossible. And at that point, any calculation would be blessed.