Fiorentina-Torino prediction odds analysis for matchday 21 of Serie A

If it’s not a crisis, we’re close. Fiorentina, after the KO in Monza and with only one point obtained in the last five league games, is desperately looking for a success to restart after an excellent start to the season. The opponent of the day is Torino, fresh from the draw in the derby against Juventus, which represented an injection of confidence for the morale of Vanoli’s team, in twelfth place with 22 points obtained so far. Let’s find out together, then, the odds and predictions for Fiorentina-Turin, scheduled for Sunday 19 January at 12.30 at the Franchi stadium.

FIORENTINA-TORINO PREDICTION ODDS

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After the series of eight victories in a row, which had ensured that they were included among the teams accredited in the Serie A winning odds, Fiorentina remained winless in their last five matches in the top division, and have not done worse since the period between January and February 2023. The climate is complicated, Palladino’s bench increasingly shaky. This is enough to make us understand how fundamental the Franchi match is for the season of Colpani and his teammates.

We therefore choose to bet on their victory, perhaps adding the 1X double chance. Then, we mix it with the Goal: Fiorentina scored the same number of goals as league leaders Napoli, while Torino stopped at 20 but the draw in the derby gave the Granata greater awareness of their strength. In short, we don’t expect one of the two to remain without goals: the combo is worth 2.30 on Sisal and Goldbet, 2.44 on Betway, 2.48 on Netbet, 2.50 on William Hill.

FROM 11 METERS

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Fiorentina is, with Inter, one of the two teams to have scored the most goals from penalties in this championship (five), while Torino is, together with Milan, one of the two to have not yet conceded a goal from the penalty spot. The Viola have not scored from 11 meters in Serie A since 2021/22 (nine in that case). Also starting from this data, we choose to hypothesize the arrival of a penalty during the Franchi match. The hypothesis takes on even more strength if we think about the determination with which the two teams, at different times and with different motivations, will compete. The odds are 2.65 on Goldbet, 2.75 on Sisal, 2.80 on Betway and Netbet, 3.25 on William Hill.

THE RATES OF FIORENTINA-TORINO

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According to reports from the main betting sites, Fiorentina starts with the advantage for the final victory. The 1 sign oscillates between 1.71 of LeoVegas and 1.75 of Netwin. On the other hand, the eventual success of Torino is able to pay up to 5.90 times the stake on Netwin (it remains slightly lower on William Hill, 5.50, Netbet and Betsson, 5.80). The draw, as often happens, falls in the middle: the X is worth 3.40 on bet365, 3.45 on Lottomatica, 3.48 on Betway, 3.50 on Netwin. As regards the number of goals that will arrive during the match, the Under is ahead of the Over 2.5: the first scenario is quoted at 1.67 on bet365 and William Hill, while the threshold set by the bookies for the opposite hypothesis is of 2.20 on Sisal and bet365, 2.25 on William Hill.

THE PRECEDENTS OF FIORENTINA-TORINO

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Torino have won 50 Serie A matches against Fiorentina, more than against any other team in the tournament. The Granata, however, have only collected two successes in the 10 most recent matches with the Viola in the top division. The Tuscans, on the other hand, have managed to keep a clean sheet in the last three league matches against Torino, as many times as in the previous 14. If the clean sheet were to arrive on this occasion too, Fiorentina would reply what happened for the last time in the period February 1968-October 1969.

THE MARKERS

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With the goal scored in the last round, Beltrán is already one step away from last season’s active participation, with half the appearances: three goals and four assists in 16 games in 2024/25, six goals and two winning passes in 32 meetings in 2023/24. It is therefore not surprising to see the Argentine footballer among those most credited with scoring. In fact, the odds for him are 3.60 on William Hill, 3.75 on Netwin and Netbet, 3.76 on Betway.

On the other hand, with the goal scored against Juve Nikola Vlasic became the fourth Torino midfielder to have found at least two goals and two assists in three separate Serie A seasons. From 2004/05 onwards, only Baselli, Benassi have managed this and Rosina. He is certainly not among the “suspects” to go online, but he is still a name to take into consideration, also because the odds – as a midfielder – are absolutely interesting: 6.00 on Netwin, Netbet and William Hill, 7.21 on Betway, 8.00 on bet365.

Read the other Serie A predictions of the week, with detailed statistics and exclusive analyzes by Gazzetta Scommesse.