Electoral analysis | A hectic 28-M in Barcelona and smooth in Madrid
In Madrid and Barcelona, the elections have a different flavor than the rest of the municipalities. They have a certain taste for ‘midterms’, midterm elections that give clues to what may happen in the Spanish and Catalan political future. It matters who takes the baton, who wins, but also what is the strength of each block, and how each game ends. Whoever comes out as mayor in Barcelona, what matters is the relative strength of the ERC with respect to Junts, and of the PSC with respect to the Comuns. In Madrid, whether or not the PP governs, the power that Vox demonstrates matters, and whether Más Madrid continues to be ahead of the PSOE. Figures like Yolanda Díaz, Pedro Sánchez, Aragonès, Borràs, Feijóo, or Abascal, despite not participating in the elections, are risking what may happen in 2024.
For weeks now, at Predilect we have been making daily predictions about what the resulting municipal government will be in all the capitals of Catalonia, as well as the most populated cities in the community and Madrid. In future installments we will diversify our gaze, but in this first analysis we direct our attention to the two hot spots for May 28: Barcelona and Madrid. Read the full analysis here.