The security pact signed by the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia, known as AUKUS, provides new arguments for those who believe that the rivalry between Beijing and Washington leads inexorably to a new cold war and it leaves the hypothesis of a cold peace quite unattended, whose main characteristic would be, if it came true, that the rivalry between superpowers would never endanger the good conduct of business within the Global economy. Because by supplying Australia with a total of five nuclear submarines from 2030, within a broad spectrum program with exchange of resources and technology for a value of 120,000 million dollars, nothing else is done complete the seat belt against China, from South Korea to Southeast Asia. A scenario that includes three theaters of great importance for Beijing: Taiwan, that it intends to annex; the South China Sea, whose strategic control it claims; and the straits that connect the Indian and Pacific Oceans, vital in the transport of energy and all kinds of merchandise.
The call ‘anglosphere’ thus preparing to persevere in a specific policy to contain China separated from the European one, facilitated by the operation the ukrainian war where the Chinese government emits increasing signals of understanding for the invasion unleashed by Russia, although it practices ambiguity in its public statements. And also provided by the AUKUS by the Brexit, that has given the conservative governments in London a free hand to manage with their own emphasis the complexity of the relationship with China, the scope of the new Silk Road, in whose development he puts so much effort Xi Jinping to protect its link with the EU, the first receiving market for its exports.
The disgust expressed by the Chinese government, which blames the new pact for further militarization of the Pacific Rim, for violating the Non-Proliferation Treaty and increasing the risks of an escalation was as predictable as the impression that, unless the shouting subsided, the globalization of the economy as it materialized in the transition from the 20th to the 21st century is at serious risk. not just because commercial exchanges require a climate of trust in all areas, but because A neoprotectionism is gaining supporters that allows us to glimpse a new double globalization: that of the western allies and that articulated around the China-Russia axis, with great power of expansion in the Global South. With disturbing unknowns involved such as the effect that such a scheme may have in a capital field such as new technologies, where China and Taiwan are main players.
In this new cold war under construction, most of the assumptions handled by the ‘think tanks’. In front of them, a state-of-the-art scaffolding is being assembled in a hurry in which China is no longer the power attached to an uncompromising defense of the ‘status quo’ and The United States sees its status as undisputed arbiter threatened. With technological and military competition located on the same plane in the race for hegemony on a planetary scale.