The current voters see the CDA as a ‘solid, reliable, stable middle party with a reliable party leader’, the researchers write about Henri Bontenbal. The Rotterdammer is mainly praised because of his ‘constructive and anti-polarizing attitude’. For 66 percent of CDA voters, he plays an important role in their voting choice.
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With a general average rating of a 6.3, he is ‘the best -rated politician at the moment’. His own voters give him an 8.3, while he can also roughly count on a seven with parties such as VVD, D66, CU, GL/PvdA and Volt. In this way he clearly scores better in the opinion research than other party leaders. For example, Geert Wilders (PVV) gets an average of 4.0, Frans Timmermans (GL/PvdA) a 4.3 and Dilan Yesilgöz (VVD) a 3.9.
CDA voters support an adjustment of mortgage interest deduction
The views are less decisive for CDA voters (59 percent). Nevertheless, CDA voters do support new plans from the party such as the reduction of the mortgage interest deduction. Only 23 percent of current voters are for ‘sticking to the mortgage interest deduction’, while this percentage at VVD (38 percent), JA21 (42 percent), PVV (51 percent) and BBB (61 percent) is much higher.
CDA wants income -related ‘liberty contribution’ to be able to speak army
With 25 seats, the CDA is back in the top two in the polls of Ipsos I&O for the first time since 2006. The researchers write about ‘a comeback present since the great defeat of 2010’ when the party plummeted from 41 to 21. Also in recent polls from EenVandaag and Maurice de Hond, the CDA has been scoring well above 20 seats for some time, although the party dropped slightly there at the end of August.
GL/PvdA is falling in newest polls
The PVV remains in all polls with (more) thirty seats. GL/PvdA, who for a long time went somewhat with the party of Geert Wilders for a long time, decreases both in the poll of EenVandaag (26) and that of Ipsos I&O (23).
The researchers at Ipsos I&O describe the vulnerability for the party to lose votes on the left at SP, PvdD and Volt for people who want a left -wing sound. But voters can also go to the right, for example at D66 and CDA, if they find GL/PvdA too radical. Leader Frans Timmermans is a reason for only 10 percent of the supporters to go to the polls. Moreover, a quarter of the virtual GL/PvdA seats are based on the ‘strategic voice’, as the researchers describe it. They therefore predict that the party can lose even more seats when the first place falls out of sight.
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In terms of voter potential, the CDA can win the most voters. The researchers write that a total of 33 percent of voters are considering this party, while this ceiling at PVV (31 percent) and GL/PvdA (29 percent) is slightly lower. It is striking that the potential of D66 with 25 percent is now comparable to that of the VVD.