Crypto expert optimistic about Bitcoin: The 4-year cycle is “dead”
Bitwise investment director Matt Hougan expects a continued upward trend in the original cryptocurrency Bitcoin.
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• Crypto community shared opinion on traditional halving cycle
• Matt Hougan expects “a few good years”
• The Bitwise-Cio sees strong long-term pro-crypto forces
The Bitcoin was last on the up and a few weeks ago at around $ 123,000 marked a new all-time high. Now there is a very controversial discussion in the crypto community whether the world’s most popular cyberdevise will follow the traditional halving cycle and will therefore reach its preliminary highlight in the coming months, or whether it may break out of its historical pattern.
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Bitwise-Cio raises the thumb for Bitcoin
Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise Invest, is one of the optimists with this question. “I bet that in 2026 will be an upward year,” quotes “CoinTelegraph” Hougan. According to this, the Bitwise investment chief said in an X-video: “On the whole, I believe that we have a few good years ahead of us”.
According to Hougan, the traditional four-year cycle is broken, the expert even described it as “dead”. He led various reasons for this. On the one hand, Bitcoin-Halving becomes “half as important” every four years.
On the other hand, the interest cycle is positive for crypto. The US President Donald Trump pushes the US Federal Reserve to lower the key interest rate, which would be a potentially positive catalyst for Bitcoin, since lower interest rates make traditional assets such as bonds and fixed deposits for investors less attractive compared to risky financial products.
Long-term pro crypto forces
In addition, the expert believes that the risk of significant price setbacks has dropped. In doing so, he is based in particular on the progressive regulation and institutional adoption. “The risk of an explosion has become less due to the clearer regulation and institutionalization of the industry,” said Hougan. “The long-term pro-crypto forces will overwhelm the classic” four-year cycle “forces as far as they exist, and in 2026 it will be a good year,” he says optimistically.
Risk from Bitcoin reserve strategies
Hougan considers the rise of Bitcoin treasury companies for the most important “cyclical risk” for Bitcoin. He shares the fear of the experts from the asset manager Vaneck. According to “CoinTelegraph”, these had recently warned that companies that accumulate Bitcoin by issuing new shares or the inclusion of debts are particularly susceptible.
Editor finance.net