5 keys to understanding Javier Milei’s successes and failures

“The success or failure of a political assembly can be influenced by a series of factors, which could include the popularity and acceptance of the ideas and proposals of the leader, the ability to form political alliances and coalitionsthe structure and organization of the political party itself, and the political and social context in which it develops”, summarizes ChatGPT when asked about the keys to a successful national political strategy.

The most popular artificial intelligence platform lists the bases on which to build a national army, a path that javier milei and La Libertad Avanza have gone half way, and that is reflected in the performance that their candidates have had in the recent provincial electionswhere its candidates apparently fail to live up to the enormous expectations generated by the space.

1. Strong and charismatic leadership: A compelling candidate can mobilize a fan base and attract new voters. Effective communication skills and the ability to inspire confidence and enthusiasm are decisive qualities in a political leader.

On this first point, Milei probably passes with ten. In record time, he has gained a huge fan base and various polls point to him as the favorite for PASO, where he would become the most voted candidate for president. Of course, without rivals in the internal, after having expelled collaborators and allies.

“I am concerned about some mistakes that Javier Milei is making, especially in political framing, which resulted in bad elections in the interior because the results were disappointing. In addition, he had some statements that make denote that he is not well armed to govern. Milei is an important and appreciated figure, surrounded by fans, he believed that his government could be good but I don’t think that at this moment he would put together a team consistent with what the presidency of the Nation means, ”he said. Carlos Maslatonthe lawyer and financial analyst who worked in the beginning as the patron of the Liberal candidate.

2. Clear and attractive ideology: It is essential to have a coherent and powerful electoral platform outlined that resonates with the electorate. Defining solid proposals, and communicating them effectively, is usually the kick to attract supporters and followers.

Here Javier MIlie has successfully managed to vehemently impose an agenda of issues: the elimination of Central bank; a dollarization; a “chainsaw plan” for some areas of the State; total cut in public works, substituting “a Chilean-style private initiative system; the implementation of vouchers for private education.

Grizzled Milei

An agenda that many analysts and economists agree will be difficult to convey: both his political rivals and the red circle of businessmen (as happened a month ago in the Llao Llao), they gave the thumbs up to their “crazy” ideas.

The “caste” and the “prebendary entrepreneurs”, responds Milei, who maintains that she will not negotiate her positions in the event of reaching the presidency: she would seek through popular consultation to seek the endorsement of the citizenry where Congress does not accompany. A measure that collides with article 22 of the Constitution, but would also add sidereal costs to decision-making and would surely reduce its management to decrees.

3. Communication strategy and effective mobilization: A planned communication strategy well adapted to the different channels (social networks, media, public events, etc.) is key to disseminating the political message and reaching a wider audience.

Likewise, it is important to mobilize and keep your fan base active and militants. Organizing events, generating debates, encouraging citizen participation and providing opportunities for political action can strengthen the presence and impact of the party.

Javier Milei in campaign for Pinamar

Milei approves on both counts. She has managed to motorize a circle of fans who amplify her message on networks, and her presentations are equally massive. Her big parties envy her ability to win the youth vote. Although this segment proves to be more participatory online than at the pollsas seen in the Fuegian case.

In Tierra del Fuego, the evangelical and libertarian pastor Laura Almirón won 7.11% of the votes, far behind the 53 percent of the re-elected governor Gustavo Melella, but also the 20% who paid in whiteproof of the inability to achieve a conversion at the polls of the “I vote anger”.

4. Party organization: It is essential to have a solid structure, a clear hierarchy, efficient decision-making, and a committed and trained team that can carry out the tasks necessary for the functioning of the party.

Here the Milei case contrasts with other successful examples at the polls of libertarian candidates and self-described anti-politics in the international arena, where the most notorious case is that of donald trump. With a political shipbuilder with extensive experience as Rudolph “Rudy” Giulianithe former president achieved the support of a political structure with almost 170 years of history, sealed in the formula with Mike Pencea vice president who had already served 3 terms in congress and four years as governor of Indiana.

Javier Milei and Martin Menem

And in the case of the Brazilian Jair Bolsonaroin addition to having its own party with years of filming, added the support of the Brazilian Labor Renewal Party, by electing former general Hamilton Mourao: outlined a coalition that thus integrated the army with the evangelical churcheswho have an oiled electoral platform in the neighboring country.

5. Building coalitions and alliances: Precisely, the partnership with other political parties and related groups increases the chances of success in a national political assembly. These associations provide greater endorsement and support, and broaden the voter base.

Milei managed to add to his squad in La Rioja Martin Menen, the nephew of the former president and current deputy, who came third with 15.5% of the votes. And in Tucumán the expectations of the libertarian are set in Ricardo Bussi (Milei was an advisor to Antonio Bussi in Congress, when he was elected National Deputy in 1999).

espert and milei

But his partnership with Jose Luis Espert He was blown up and today he is accused of being a traitor for his declared willingness to compete in the Juntos por el Cambio internship. And his anger with him is public Ricardo Lopez Murphyanother liberal reference to which he pondered in the past: the former economy minister of Fernando De la Rúa discarded his idea of ​​dollarization.

Finally, the recent announcement of victoria villarruel as a running mate, a legislator already in space, is proof of Milei’s inability to expand space beyond her circle of trust. “I chose her because she is a brilliant, upright, honest person, and we are also her friends; we complement each other very well and to resolve the issues that afflict the country,” Milei said of the deputy.

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