This week’s standard round has the potential for a good pot.
Standard is available again. Photo from Wallsall Stadium. PDO
The standard round of the week again offers the ingredients for a decent jackpot with its sub-league matches.
The round’s tastiest passing game is available in item 9. Wallsall, the league leader in the second division, beat the league’s jumbo team Newport 4–2 a week ago. Before this, it lost two matches and drew one, and did not impress in those matches.
At the level of the entire season, Wallsall’s position at the top of the league is, for example, a potential flop measured by expected goals. According to the Kakkosliiga goal difference statistics, the team has only played the fifteenth best football in the series. Its goal expectancy ratio is exactly 50%.
Wallsall’s opponent on Saturday, Colchester, is only in 16th place in the league table, but according to expectations, it has also been better than the league leaders in terms of play. Colchester is seventh in the waiting list with three goals on the plus side.
In standard, Wallsall has now been beaten by almost 70% based on the standings alone, while, for example, in the betting market, its probability of winning is estimated to be only around 45%. X2 to target 9 is really a deliciously paying game choice.
In the First League, there is an almost similar case from object 2. The home team Lincoln is still knocking on top of the standings, even though it has won only one game out of its last five. After a very good start, the team is returning to its “own positions” in the table, as the team was ranked in the lower middle class before the start of the season. In the expected statistics, Lincoln is clearly a team with a minus sign and currently belongs to the eight weakest teams in the series in terms of playing power.
Doncaster hasn’t won in five matches either, but their performances on the field have been better than their results. Doncaster’s expected ratio is in the plus, and the team is currently in the top ten of the series in terms of games.
From these points of view, Lincoln shouldn’t even be a 60 percent favorite even at home against Doncaster. The betting market’s estimate for Lincoln is around 45%, and here the overplay to the overplayed favorite is quite justified.
Among the sure candidates of the round, the most likely winner is the home team of object 7, Notts County, who beat Harrogate, one of the weakest teams in the Second League, with about 65 percent certainty. In itself, Notts County is pretty much overplayed, but as a frequent hitter, it can still qualify for sure.
Other worthy – if nothing spectacular – surefire contenders include No. 1 Leyton Orient, No. 6 Grimsby, No. 8 Oldham and No. 13 Bromley. You can still give a small passing tip for the Cambridge–Barnet game in the Second League. Barnet is the number one team in the waiting list of the Second League, despite its poor league position (11th). Cambridge shouldn’t necessarily be the favorite here at all.
Standard/basic line/system 384 lines (96 euros)
1. Leyton Orient – Exeter 1 1
2. Lincoln C – Doncaster x x2
3. Luton – Rotherham 1 1x
4. Port Vale – Wycombe x x2
5. Burton Albion – Blackpool FC 1 1x
6. Grimsby T – Chesterfield 1 1
7. Notts Co – Harrogate T 1 1
8. Oldham Ath v Crewe 1 1
9. Walsall FC – Colchester x x2
10. MK Dons – Salford C 1 1×2
11. Fleetwood v Swindon T x x2
12. Cambridge U – Barnet 2 x2
13. Bromley – Barrow AFC 1 1
Destinations: 1-5 First League and 6-13 Second League