Oakoff-Investments advises investors to take profits with them before the upcoming Nvidia record. Despite strong quarterly figures and growing demand in the AI sector, new risks could threaten.
• Oakoff recommends taking Nvidia gains with you before the Q2 balance
• Expert sees new risks
• A share remains high, short -term volatility possible
According to the Oakoff investments, investors should be careful and consider taking profits with you before the publication of the Q2 record of NVIDIA on August 27, 2025. Analyst Oakoff has been pursuing the Nvidia share since February 2024 and regularly reports on the financial platform Seeking Alpha.
His advice at the time before the balance sheet for the first quarter of 2025 was a downgrade from “Buy” to “Hold”. According to Seeking Alpha, the reason for this was possible loads from the H20 chip export bans and a possible deterioration in the gross margin that could press the share price. In fact, however, Nvidia exceeded expectations: with sales of $ 44.06 billion, the group was slightly above the consensus of $ 43.25 billion (an increase of around $ 1.88 percent) and even the internal forecasts of management. Despite a depreciation of $ 4.5 billion for H20 GPUs, the profit increased by around 32.78 percent per year in the annual comparison and was eight percent above the consensus. The data center area in particular contributed significantly to growth.
Chinese export ban as a new risk for the Nvidia share
However, Oakoff is again pessimistic for the second quarter. According to his analyzes, he expects sales of around $ 45 billion, with a possible decrease of eight billion US dollars from lost H20 orders from China. The gross margin is still expected at around 72 percent (non-gaap) and the operational leverage remains high, which could theoretically exceed expectations of profit per share. However, Oakoff warns of Seeking Alpha of new risks: According to The Information, Chinese regulatory authorities have instructed large technology groups to expose the purchase of NVIDIA’s H20 GPUs. This could almost reduce sales in China to zero and endanger the income from a potentially recurring billion dollar market.
“If the management does not appeal to this in the Q2-earning call or if the market receives a slight indication of a further deterioration in this area, the stock could be sold strongly, even if Nvidia exceeds the number of headlines as clearly as in the past two years,” emphasizes Oakoff according to Seeking Alpha.
NVIDIA rating at a record level – Oakoff warns of course burglaries
Nvidia’s evaluation has changed significantly since the beginning of 2025, as Oakoff emphasizes according to Seeking Alpha: While the share was still traded in April with a KGV of 37.76, it is now 56.36 – an indication of the high expectations of the market (as of August 22, 2025). Oakoff therefore emphasizes: “[…] I think it is reasonable to leave my holding recommendation unchanged until we see what Nvidia presents for the second quarter and what outlook management for Q3 and the time after. ”
Although Oakoff officially leaves his classification at “Hold”, he distinguishes between a long -term neutral evaluation and a short -term tactical recommendation. With the indication of taking part of the price gains achieved, he wants to give investors the opportunity to secure themselves against possible setbacks before the quarterly figures, but without fundamentally classifying the share as sales candidates.
Bettina Schneider / Editor Finanzen.net
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