When the war between Israel and Iran began, one of the first surprises for many observers was the state of the Iranian weapons. Most of the equipment of its armed forces – tanques, airplanes, air defense systems – dated the seventies and eighties. The most modern thing they had were some missiles and drones developed locally with technology that North Korea had transferred years ago. But there were no modern fighters, nor sophisticated aerial defenses, nor command and control systems with artificial intelligence. Nothing of the sort.
And there begins the true question: how can I go, which for years is a tactical ally of Russia and even sells its Shahed drones to Moscow, has never received modern Russian heavy weapons? Why did you never give the last generation Sukhoi fighters? Why didn’t S -400 batteries give him? Why does China either?
The answer is uncomfortable, but clear. Iran is governed by a regime of religious fans who say they speak with invisible beings and make military and strategic decisions within a completely unpredictable ideological framework. No power – even those that are close to him on the geopolitical board – wants that type of leadership to have access to weapons that can alter the balance of power in the Middle East. Nobody wants an Iran with real aerial superiority. Nobody wants me to close commercial routes or attack precisely from afar.
Therefore, Iran continues today with a military apparatus that seems taken from a museum. Their planes cannot compete. Their anti -aircraft defenses are not prepared to intercept what falls on them. They have no modern sensors, or state -of -the -art radars or artificial intelligence; Because nobody sold them.
This isolation is not a coincidence or carelessness: it is a deliberate policy. The great powers understand that, if they will have real access to modern weapons, it would put their neighbors immediately and destabilize complete regions, affecting Russian, Chinese, European and North American interests.
Iran can produce cheap drones and short -range missiles, and export them to other regimes. But when it comes to buying what would really change your military situation –vions, air defense, artificial intelligence, electronic warfare – nobody wants to open that door. Everyone knows who they are dealing with.
Mookie Tenemboum is an international analyst. He drives every week with Horacio Cabak the Podcast “The International Observer “available in Spotify, Apple, YouTube and other platforms.
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