UPDATEThe good news: the new calculations from the RMI are more optimistic today. Yesterday, code yellow was announced for West Flanders and parts of Wallonia due to rain, but the weather models are somewhat more favorable today, meaning that only the province of Luxembourg now (narrowly) meets the conditions for code yellow. What can we expect in the near future? VTM weatherman David Dehenauw clarifies what we can expect in the second half of November.
Lieve Van Bastelaere, Axelle Peeters, Tatiana Triest
Latest update:
15:16
LOOK. Our weatherman: “Weather models are more optimistic today”
Today it will rain at the French border in the morning. According to Dehenauw, this rain zone will move north, but whether it will reach the Dutch border or the provinces of Antwerp or Limburg is not yet certain. “It is certain that the closer we are to the French border, the more precipitation will fall,” the weatherman explained last night. “The further towards the Dutch border, the less precipitation.”
The weather models are more optimistic today. The most precipitation is expected in the far south of the country
Weather models more optimistic
“Every drop of precipitation that currently falls in West Flanders is one too many. That is why we have given the province code yellow for Thursday,” Dehenauw said last night. The weather models look a bit more favorable today, meaning that only the province of Luxembourg now (narrowly) meets the conditions for code yellow. “We expect an amount of 5 to 15 millimeters along the border of West Flanders with France between now and 1 am next night,” Dehenauw said in an update this morning. “We expect between 0 and 5 millimeters along the Dutch border with East Flanders and between 5 and 10 millimeters in the south of East Flanders.”
Locally, from now until Friday night to Saturday night, up to 20 millimeters may fall in the south of West Flanders and up to 15 millimeters in the south of East Flanders. “Much less precipitation is expected elsewhere, most precipitation is expected in the far south of the country,” Dehenauw said this morning.
End of the misery?
“Tomorrow we expect a few showers here and there,” Dehenauw said this afternoon. “I think West Flanders will remain dry tomorrow. There will be a new rain zone on Saturday. That is a preliminary estimate. We can only estimate rain amounts 24 to 48 hours in advance, and even then. We expect 5 to 15 millimeters, locally perhaps even 20 millimeters. It will be a bit drier on Sunday. It goes up and down.”
Dehenauw is cautiously optimistic about the second half of November. “A high-pressure area will be above us on Wednesday and Thursday. That would be two dry days. What happens next is unclear. There are signals that drier periods are coming. Other models do predict precipitation. I don’t want to get ahead of that. In any case, Wednesday and Thursday should be drier. I do think – although I want to remain very cautious – that it will rain less heavily in the second half of November than in the first half.”
WEATHER FORECAST. Dry at first but later intense rain again
The day begins Today generally dry but cloudy. There may still be some short sunny periods in the east. At the end of the morning, an area of active rain reaches our country from France. It will rain in most regions in the afternoon, reports the RMI, which expects the most rain in the southern half of the country.
The maximum temperatures fluctuate between 5 degrees in the High Fens and 8 degrees in the center. The weak southerly wind becomes weak to moderate and turns first to the east and then to the northeast.
This evening the disturbance is gradually moving towards Germany. However, it remains heavily cloudy with still heavy rain south of Sambre and Meuse. Elsewhere it will be partly cloudy and it may become drier temporarily.
During the night showers move over the land from the North Sea and can cause some melting snow in the higher areas, with possibly poor visibility due to low cloud. The minimum temperatures fluctuate from 1 degree in the High Ardennes to 7 degrees in the west of the country. The weak to moderate northeasterly wind will become southwesterly inland and northwesterly on the coast.
Tomorrow it is heavily cloudy with fog or mist in the morning. During the day it will be partly cloudy with showers, but also some sunny periods. The maximum temperatures do not exceed 4 degrees at the Ardennes heights and 9 or 10 degrees in Flanders. The wind is blowing weak to moderate from the southwest, turning to the northwest. On the coast the wind generally blows moderately from the northwest.
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“Two months of precipitation in just ten days is very exceptional” (+)
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