North American ships accumulate in the Caribbean. The White House describes an operation to stop drug trafficking to the United States. But the quantity and type of ships that are facing the coast of Venezuela speak of something larger than intercepting ships that transport cocaine.
An invasion is the only thing Washington rules out in military actions. However, three amphibious landing ships such as the USS IWO Jima, the USS Fort Lauderdale and the USS San Antonio seem to combine with the mobilization of the 22 Marines expeditionary unit to launch a landing. And the use of three destroyers carrying Missile Tomahawk and other types of guided projectiles, seems to pre -anch a tone bombing.
The Pentagon trusts that, cutting the massive income of dollars produced by drug trafficking, the dictatorship will be economically suffocated and it will collapse. But it is impossible to be sure of that.
In his first allusion to the subject, Secretary of State Marco Rubio said that “many countries” support the operation in progress, Psin only mentioned five: Guyana, Trinidad and Tobago, Ecuador, Paraguay and Argentina.
Guyana’s reason to support an operation against the Venezuelan regime is in sight: the threats of Nicolás Maduro with forceing the disputed region of the Esequibo. Trinidad and Tobago also have a visible reason in the constant threats of the regime against that island country, whose government accuses of making terrorist groups acting in Venezuela.
Paraguay’s argument are the links of the EPP (Army of the Paraguayan people) with the FARC and the Los Solos poster, organizations that would have supported that narco-Guaraní Guerrilla that murdered in 2004 Cecilia Cubas, the daughter of former President Cubas Grau.
Although Ecuadorian drug traffickers are associated with the Sinaloa Cartel and other Mexican mafias, President Daniel Noboa Libra a war against drug trafficking visible enough to be, or look like a logical argument.
In Argentina also the penetration of drug trafficking is immense, but the war on narco-mafias is not in the center of the stage. Therefore, it is likely that having been among the first to adhere has another reason: a new edition of the “carnal relations” established by Carlos Menem and Guido Di Tella, the author of the unlikely metaphor.
That follow -up of Washington made Argentina participate, although peripherally, in the operation storm of the desert, with which the United States swept Kuwait the Iraqi army that had invaded it. In that conflict of the year 1992, the Argentine support represented the Spiro corvette and the destroyer Almirante Brown.
Liberating Kuwait from Saddam Hussein’s claws was positive. It would also be that Maduro’s dictatorship falls. But if the operation to tear it down leads to an action that would be the first of that type in South America, it would be in a situation of difficult consequences to predict.
The argument of such a military deployment (operation against drug trafficking), the qualification of the Los Soles poster as a terrorist organization and the signaling of Maduro and Diosdado Cabello as the bosses of that narco-mafia, are functionally combined to a military attack.
Thus raised an attack on the Miraflores Palace, the ministries that handle the military security and structure, and the barracks and bases of the Bolivarian Armed Forces, would not cease to be an operation against drug trafficking.
It may not go beyond a fence that, when cutting the naval drug trafficking roads, economically weakens the Chavista dictatorship. But if there is an attack from American ships, it will be the first direct military action of the United States in South American territory.
In Central America and the Caribbean islands there were many invasions and attacks from the United States. But in South America, where many governments fell due to coup conspiracies financed and directed from Washington, there were no invasions or bombing of US forces.
From the Isthmus to the east and north, the story is full of invasions, beginning with the war for which the United States removed the territories of the current California, Utah, Arizona, New Mexico and Nevada.
Then came the 1912 landing in Nicaragua, starting the conflict in which the figure of Nicaraguan guerrilla Augusto César Sandino stood out.
In 1954, the CIA participated directly in the demolition of the democratic government of Jacobo Affenz and put in power to Colonel Castillo Armas, starting in Guatemala a drift that affected the entire region.
Eleven years later, Lindon B. Johnson authorized Operation Power Pack, invading the Dominican Republic to prevent the so -called “April Revolution” to restore the constitutional president Juan Bosch, who had been overthrown by a conservative coup d’etat.
Direct military interventions continued until the end of the 20th century, with the invasion of Grenada that Ronald Reagan ordered to get the Marxist and authoritarian Maurice Bishop out of power.
Six years later, Panama’s invasion of General Noriega occurred and in 1995 the only invasion was given to get a military dictator out of power and replenish a left -wing president. It was in Haiti, demolished General Raoul Cedras and restored the presidency to the priest Jean-Bertrand Aristide, who had been democratically elected.
Interventionism became the rule in Central America and the Caribbean Islands, but not in South America. Interference was permanent but there were no direct attacks or invasions. That is why it is so difficult to anticipate the consequences that a direct action would have against the Chavista regime.
Venezuela is not Panama, where the 1989 invasion was carried out from within the country because the US troops left Fort Clayton and other bases located along the interoceanic channel. Venezuela is larger and there are no US bases inside.
That is why the best thing would be for the regime to suffocate and fall without an attack. Especially for the government that involved its country for a matter of “carnal relations.”
