Raonic-Nadal, Rafa returns to the field at Indian Wells: odds and prediction

The Canadian and the Spaniard, protagonists at the highest levels in the past decade, face each other again 14 years after the first time, with very different rankings and ambitions.

Milos Raonic and Rafa Nadal face off for the eleventh time in their career in an ATP tournament (the fourteenth also taking into account the exhibition matches), with a score of 8-2 for the Spaniard. The two found themselves on the opposite side of the net in a Slam quarter-final (Australian Open 2017) and in a 1000 final (Montreal 2013). It is a match featuring two revived players who, despite their age and ranking (33 years old, the Canadian 224 – 37 years old, the Spaniard 652) are ready to put on a show once again. Let’s find out the odds and prediction for Raonic-Nadal, a match valid for the first round of Indian Wells: whoever wins will face Holger Rune in the second round.

RAONIC-NADAL ODD PREDICTION OVER 22.5 GAMES

The Canadian did well in Rotterdam in mid-February, exiting in the third round due to withdrawal against Sinner after beating De Jong and Bublik; the Spaniard hasn’t played an official match since Brisbane in January, when he lost to Thompson in the quarter-finals having failed to take advantage of a match point at 1-0. A determining factor will be the conditions of the two: Rafa is slightly favored, but on the other side of the net there is a real big server. If, as predicted, Nadal prevails, it is conceivable that it will be a tight match, in which individual points could prove decisive; tiebreaks aren’t out of the question either. The quality of the two servers and the fast surface of Indian Wells lead us to think that it will be a long match, lasting at least 23 games. The Over 22.5 can be played at 1.70 on Snai, 1.72 on William Hill, 1.76 on Better and Goldbet and 1.78 on NetBet.

THE OTHER ODDS OF THE MATCH

As mentioned, the Majorcan is the favorite according to the main betting sites, quoted at 1.50 on bet365, Better, Goldbet and Sisal and at 1.53 on Snai. The victory of Raonic, who already beat Nadal in Indian Wells in 2015, stands at 2.50 on Sisal and Snai, 2.60 on William Hill and 2.63 on bet365. In the Set Betting segment, the least quoted of the 4 exact results is 2-0 in favor of Nadal, playable at 2.10 on William Hill, 2.30 on Snai and 2.38 on bet365.

Final comment on the number of sets: that both will win at least one, taking the match to the third and decisive set, is on the board at 2.20 on bet365, at 2.22 on NetBet and at 2.37 on William Hill.

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