With Savonian self -confidence, scoring and Moldova Milsam from the beginning to the hind legs – a KuPS recipe to the beginning of the Euro games.
The most interesting game of the day
The most interesting thing about the day is to be the Kuopio Tuesday evening and the opening of the Champions League qualifiers. KuPS meets Moldovian Milsam for the second time within two years, so it is already a familiar resistance.
KuPS leaves the home match as a clear favorite. Recent performances have shown that 4-3-3 forms have become a functional entity. Winger gaming is built to be classically wide through the top three.
In the midfield Jerry Voutilainen rhythm the game on the ball, Petteri Pennanen reads space and Joslyn luyeye-lutumba Provides activity and continuous movement. The structure of the game is balanced in that the attacks are no longer about occasional successes, but more and more opening the game will lead to the breakdown of the offensive trim.
Equally, the response of a top pair to the opponent’s changes has evolved – through this, the previously seen vulnerable moments have been reduced.
Milsami is not really strangers to Kuopio people, but in two years the Moldovian team has changed somewhat. Last season, the team won the championship of their home country, but it has been more difficult in the Euro fields.
The frame form is 4-4-2, where midfield lines tend to summarize the space in the center and force the game to the edges. The focus of the offensive is on fast counter -attacks and direct progress – the team does not build, but strives to strike when the opponent is not completely organized.
KuPS must be particularly accurate about the field balance of their own winger players, as the most dangerous weapon of the Moldovans is still the post -exploration of the attack.
Tactically, the focus of the match is not only in ball control, but who can control the rhythm of the game. KuPS wants to keep the ball, but not too slowly – if the tempo drops and the Milsami is in shape, the hosts will have to run the game on the sides without a real threat.
The decisive thing is how well the midfield trio can keep the movement continuous and open the passing directions to support the offensive end trio. For Milsam’s point of view, the game plan is clear: retreating, defending low and struck if KuPS makes a mistake in the middle.
The opening period is already significant for the hosts. If KuPS manages to rhythm their game sensibly and can also open the goals, the setting for the continuation is, of course, much more controlled.
If, on the other hand, Milsam succeeds in freezing the tempo and directing the game to the harmless areas, even a small mistake can turn the situation in the other direction. Milsam is not in a hurry, but it has the ability to hit if it gets space. It is an equation that must be able to exclude KuPS. Particularly in the opening period, the unparalleled level is a scenario where the away team can draw hope.
The betting odds of the match are pretty much in line with the basic difference between teams. Kuopio people are weighed in the ability to control the game when the opponent does not try and at the same time the ability to maintain structures.
I have evaluated the likelihood of a home win to 72 % (limit factor of 1.39). Veikkaus offers the hosts 1.36, so the offer is not enough for the games. I give a draw of 18, the remaining ten surfaces for Milsam.
In the number of goals, more than 2.5 goals require either a successful start to the KuPS or a game of the game, where Milsam is also forced to open its game. My goal is below 2.80, with a limit of 1.82 at more than 2.5 goals. Veikkaus gives the event a odds of 1.70. My less than 2.5 goals are 45 %.
The match starts at 6 pm.
The best bet of the day
In the semi-finals of the FIFA Club World Cup, South American champion Flumense and Chelsea meet. The stakes are clear: the winner is progressing to the final, but at the tactical level it is not a clean comparison of a game comparison match, which also gives a justification of the number of paint.
Flumense goes to the match as an underdog, and the starting points will become even more difficult in the midfield anchor Alexsander and the topper Felipe Mellow’n with absences. The role of both has been central to protecting defense and rhythm of the game. Now, in the line -up, you need to move to a more reactive game plan where the defense of the space and the rapid transition are at the center.
Chelsea controls the rhythm of the game through the sides and strives to keep ball control. The team moves the opponent’s defense aggressively and repeatedly creates scoring sites on even the low block.
Due to the weakened midfield of the flu, Londoners have a good opportunity to control second balls in particular and prevent the opponent from transitions to the attack at an early stage. The match may appear in the beginning, but if the paint is created during the opening period, the structure of the game may open quickly – and then the probability of the goals will increase significantly.
Although it is a playoff game and its nature involves a certain caution, especially in the case of a fair situation at the end of the second period, the dynamics of the match still supports a moderate over-view. Chelsea’s XG readings have been around 2.0 per match in the tournament, and Fluminense is a dangerous counterattack team, especially through the right side.
My estimate for more than 2.5 goals is 52 %, which corresponds to a limit of 1.92. The 2.06 offered by Veikkaus is thus a clear overtime, though the predicted nature of the game puts a little restraint into effort. However, a small contribution to over-idea is justified.
The match starts at 22.00.
Games of the day: Fluminense – Chelsea, over 2.5 goals (odds 2.06)
Every day, Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit department.