Het bezoek von Nancy Pelosi aan Taiwan can still suffer a warding hit, especially China expert Jonathan Holslag (VUB). The Taiwanese islands for the Chinese art are in Kansloos. ‘When he military actions come, then the Zeker followed for our economy’
How does the regime in Beijing affect the prices of Pelosi?
“The Chinese, unfortunately, Xi Jinping heeft de voorbije weken al duidelijk maakt dat hij geen tegenstand tolerated tegen de eenmaking van China en Taiwan. In a telephony talk with Joe Biden, he also said that he would follow the rules as per Pelosi to appeal to Taiwan. Also in the Chinese state media he was heard drumming for a long time. Before the regime in Beijing, he should have gone away: he had to react hard.”
Vehicle shears along the Straat van Taiwan, door logs are also intended to be signaled for the coast of a Taiwanese island. What are you watching from the Chinese spierballengerol?
“De vraag is nu inderdaad what the Chinese reactie nog zal betekenen. Halfway from the 90s what he considered as a stevige crisis toen the president of Taiwan Lee Teng-Hui de VS (he held a speech for his alma mater, Cornell University, YV). The Chinese raised dan missiles that disappeared in the sea for Taiwan, later exploded in large Amphibious oefeningen. Zulke militaire oefeningen zullen we nu opnieuw zien.
“Maar ik vrees dat het deze keer daar niet bij kan blijven, omdat de houding van de Chinese overheid ten aanzien van Taiwan verhard is. The president Xi Jinping is also called in a transit in the future for the following term. Hij kijkt aan tegen inland problems such as the indijken van corona, an economy that does not drait so hoopt. Hij zal here dus sterk, unfortunately, we should tone.”
What are you up to in concrete terms?
“When China does not want to go there, it can be said that the small Taiwanese islands that are so beautiful as Kinmen, Matsu and Pescadores. That zouden Plaatsen can zijn that China de komende dagen manu militari holds. We know that he is in the Chinese Xiamen, just a few kilometers from Kinmen, a small island group that has an enormous military power. He is a maritime infantry brigade of the state in De Haven.
“He zijn also marinierseenheden aanwezig, the China can move relatively quickly. Kinmen is also relatively lightly done. Long the art will be planned as a blocking of the tanks in Amphibious fields, but that will be covered. Kinmen says that there are about 120,000 residents in it and there are only a few children who have a right to sell.”
Is there anything you want to invade in China?
“I think that China Taiwan is for you fait accompli can zetten. China is the best in the state with a third brigade de processing van Kinmen and de Voet te lopen. In the haven of Xiamen there are moments of real trouble in many places and things are clear. It is not considered when the invasion begins in the area of tanks and ammunition.
“I’ve got a glazed bol, naturally, because I can’t get it from the indruk ontdoen that it’s really gaat dan een oefening. Ik ben he also zeker van dat de Chinezen deze keer verder zullen gaan dan tijdens the crisis in de jaren 90. De Taiwanezen zouden also weinig kunnen doen, omdat het Taiwanese leger heel zwak state. When puntje bij paaltje comes, zij de eilanden can never deserve.”
Ook de VS moet dan reacten, what are you up to?
“America has a large military force in the region that is located on the east of Taiwan. There is a flag on the name of Japan, and there is a name on the road in Luzon. Then he still has two amphibian groups that he lay in middenin.
“I can’t imagine that the VS has the capacity to use China to stop it because of a major conflict. China is he trouwens zelf also not klaar voor. Het land nog zou heel wat voorbereidingstijd nodig hebben om een grote campagne tegen Taiwan op te zetten.”
Ondertussen houdt het Amerikaanse leger zich also bezig met de oorlog in Oekraïne.
“Yes, it may be that the VS starts from a spaning in Europe. There are now 80,000 soldiers in the continent. All the great capacity of America is due to the opening of the Oekraïnecrisis in Azië, so that he raises even more fears. Naturally, Beijing and Washington now have everything in the workshop or a large escalation is avoided.”
Biden wilde also not that Pelosi dit bezoek zou brengen, why heeft ze toch doorgezet?
“Biden heeft inderdaad tried om hair op other thought te bring. Maar Republikeinse en een aantal Democratische Congressleden raise hair and druk gezet om toch te gaan. You may not understand that there is debate within the American Congress in the area of anti-Chinese. Pelosi is trouwens ooit al eens in Taiwan and toont Veel Belangstelling voor het country.”
Uit de Oekraïnecrisis we emptied that we het wapengekletter zelf also meteen in de portemonnee voelen. Is that also how zijn bij een Chinese aanval op Taiwan?
“When the Chinezen effectief overgaan tot actie, de bevoorradingsketens nog veel meer verstoord. Depending on where you live, you want to get to the square. The road from Taiwan is the main route from Shanghai, which means a lot of traffic passes. When military actions come, then that naturally also means a great deal for our economy.”