10:26 September 14, 2025
Dax Prognosis & Analysis for KW 38/2025 📊
The most important points
The Dax Small slipped under the SMA20 (currently at 23,985 points) and has established itself under this average line. It can be read from the daily -type that it has been sideways in a narrow box in the last eight trading days. The DAX must be granted that it can stay in the haze of the SMA20 and that the bears have so far not been able to prevail. The day candles in the last retail weeks are not particularly large. The daily type is still to be interpreted as neutral. As long as the index notes under the SMA20, there is a risk that the weakness could continue.
► DAX WKN (Kassa): 846900 | ISIN (Kassa): DE0008469008 Ticker: DAX | DAX CFD: DE40cash
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Current DAX analysis (Kassa-based) on September 14, 2025: Chart analysis, Weekly outlook,, Trading Setups and more – for active day traders
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Latest news about DAX trading 🔴 DAX trade ideas 🔴 DAX forecast & outlook
DAX framework conditions
The number of Applications for unemployment support in the USA has increased to the highest level in four years – currently 1.94 million people. This increases the concern for the US labor market: in August only 22,000 new jobs createdsignificantly less than expected (80,000). For the first time since 2021, there are more unemployed people than job offers.
Consequence: Investors expect a Interest reduction of the Fed. At the same time, economists fear that too early loosening could heat inflation.
In Europe the ECB the key interest rate at 2.0 % leave. In view of stable demand and robust labor markets, you saw no reason for further interest steps.
Source: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on September 14, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in points. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
🔙 DAX review (08.09. – 12.09.2025)
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The start of the week at 23,679 points
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The deadline for the week at 23,717 points
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Wochen high under the previous week, weekly over the previous week
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After 3 loss weeks in a row: lighter Weekly profit, the weekly performance is around 0.4% plus
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Range significantly smaller As previous week and annual average
👉 The setup of the previous week hit the mark: reset up to 23,563/61 points were reached exactly.
📐💹⏳ For active day traders, resistance & support Dax
Resistance:
- 23.717 · 23.886/96 · 23.912/85 · 24.031 · 24.100/48 · 24.205/15 · 24.311/49
Support:
- 23.716/10 · 23.688 · 23.485 · 23.393/11 · 23.282
📈 Dax chart analysis
Daily chart
Source: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on September 14, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in points. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
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DAX under SMA20 (23.985) → neutral
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Sideways movement in a narrow box for eight trading days
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Potential: reset up to 23.6 % retracement possible
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Only over SMA50 (24.100) the picture brightens up bullishly
👉 Dax forecast Daily: neutral
4h chart
Source: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on September 14, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in points. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
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DAX under SMA200 (24.031) → struck
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Tested several SMA20 & SMA50, but not sustainably conquered
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Scenario: either Bullen make the jump to the SMA200 or the Press bears towards 23.175 – 22,890 points
👉 DAX analysis 4h: bear/neutral
DAX forecast KW 38/2025 – conclusion
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Trend: sideways / up
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Bull scenario probability: 60 %
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Bear scenario probability: 40 %
Short cut:
A outbreak from the sideways box decides.
DAX trading setups
🟢 Long setupBull scenario:
Stabilization over 23,717 points → potential up 23,927 – 24,297 points.
🔴 Short Setup, Bear scenario:
Under 23,717 points → reset up 23,393 – 23,265 points possible.
✅ Summary:
The current DAX forecast For KW 38/2025 it remains waiting. The DAX analysis Shows a neutral picture in the daily chart and a battered location in the 4H chart. The situation is only brightened by the SMA200, including a test of lower support.
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❓ FAQ for the DAX forecast & analysis KW 38/2025
1) What is the current DAX forecast for KW 38/2025?
The DAX forecast for KW 38/2025 is neutral to slightly bullish. As long as the index remains under SMA20 and SMA50, the uncertainty predominates. The chart image would only lighten a daily closure above the SMA50.
2) Has the DAX recorded profits or losses in the previous week?
After three loss weeks, the DAX had a small weekly win in the week from September 8-12, 2025 and closed at 23,717 points.
3) Which resistance and support are important in the DAX chart?
4) What is the DAX analysis in the Daily chart?
In the Daily chart, the DAX moves sideways in a narrow box. The picture remains neutral. Only above SMA20 (23,985) and SMA50 (24,100) does the forecast lights up bullish.
5) What short -term scenarios are there in the DAX forecast?
6) Is the overarching Dax forecast positive or negative?
The overarching Dax forecast is sideways/upwards with a 60 % probability for the bullish scenario and 40 % for the bear scenario.
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