Jukurit is ten matches ahead of TPS in the fitness scale.
Matthieu Herpin convinces Jukurien with a goal. Elmeri Elo / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
The bottom end of the league standings has come to life after Jukurien got a new flow in their play in the last matches. At one point, Jukurit seemed to have almost become the jumbo of the series without a fight. Even though the team is still last in the table, three wins from the last four games have already put the Mikkeli team in some kind of fighting position compared to the teams above it. The difference between Pelicans is 11 points and JYP is 13 points. Jukurit is ahead of twelve and, for example, tonight’s opponent TPS in the ten-match fitness scale. Jukurit has won half of its ten previous matches.
The biggest factor in the rise has been the 20-year-old who usurped the role of the number one goalkeeper by Matthieu Herpin good grips. Herpin has won five of their last eight games. Herpin’s save percentage for the entire season is 91.2%. The reading for the four matches in December is no less than 92.73%. The clear winners of the last games on the offensive side are Peter Abbandonato, Topias Hynninen, Jesper Piitulainen mixed Aleks Haatanen. Joined the team in the middle of the month Brayden Tracey hasn’t had his copper broken in three matches yet, but the Canadian should have the chops to strengthen the Jukureis.
Against TPS, the people from Mikkeli enjoy a clear rest advantage after the people from Turku played a grueling match against the Pelicans in Lahti yesterday. Jukurit will come here after two days off. The match is also the third in four days for TPS. TPS was on the move in Lahti on Friday with a very good foot and played a tight result (4–3 win) a better game, for example winning the shots by as much as 66–33 (expected for Turku 3.5–2.4). However, it should be noted about TPS that the team is very volatile, and yesterday’s good game does not necessarily mean the same thing will happen again today. The team’s goalkeeping is also currently a bigger question mark than Jukurie’s equivalent.
The previous two meetings of the season have ended with TPS winning already in regular time. In September, TPS won at home 3-2 (expected 2.8–2.7) and in October, TPS was 4–2 better in Mikkeli. In the October match, Jukurit took the expected score 2.8–2.4. Even now, the match has a very even stamp, and TPS is a rare favorite even among the visitors, despite its strain disadvantage. However, in the betting coefficients (actual playing time scale 2.90/4.10/2.16), TPS has been raised as too big a favorite. In terms of betting, however, Jukurie’s coefficient is not quite enough for the experiment. The 1.75 offered for more than 5.0 goals in the actual game time becomes the best bet of the match. Jukurit–TPS starts at 17:00.
Saturday’s best betting tip
As Saturday’s best bet, I’m picking Sheffield Wednesday’s home win over Stoke at odds of 2.06. At the time of writing the tip, the offer is clearly the highest on the market. In terms of sport, Sheffield’s victory is supported by both the good mood of the team itself and the fact that Stoke’s head coach at the end of September Narcis Pelach just hasn’t gotten his team to play any better than early autumn. At the moment, Stoke is on a seven-match winless streak and the results have been well-deserved in terms of play. Maybe the team’s material is just not enough at the moment to be above the lower middle class of the Championship. Sheffield W have lost only one of their last six games and have won three. The team coached by Danny Röhl has also been good in terms of play, and its position already close to the promotion qualifying places is just right. In my own shadow league table, Sheffield W have been 11 points better than Stoke so far. Together with the home advantage, this is enough to make the 2.06 bid an overvalued estimate of 51%. SheffW–Stoke starts at 14:30.
The other two coupon items can be found in La Liga. Of these, the 1.74 times offered for the match Osasuna–Athletic Bilbao is definitely more interesting than 2.0 goals. Osasuna is generally considered to be a team with far too few goals. In Osasuna’s 17 matches, 47 goals have been scored (an average of 2.76 per game), and there have been less than 2 goals in only four of their games. For Athletic Bilbao, there have been only 4/18 matches with less than 2 goals so far. Athletic in particular should really be considered a very attacking team in this season’s La Liga. I think the main line here is 0.25 goals too low and my estimate for over 2.0 goals is 60%. Osasuna–Athletic starts at 19:30.
The second experiment is based more on the exceptional lowness of the number of goals than on the fact that in itself I would expect a particularly high number of goals from the Getafe-Mallorca game. Both teams belong to the teams with the fewest goals in La Liga, but their games this season haven’t always been mere scraps either. On the 1.5 goal line, even a small deviation from the norm in the direction of a lot of goals quickly rains down on the bettor. I consider the 1.82 odds offered for over 1.5 goals to be worth taking a small risk. Getafe– Mallorca starts at 15:00. The best search in ice hockey is KooKoo’s regular time victory over Ilves with a coefficient of 2.46. KooKoo–Ilves starts at 17:00.
Sunday’s best betting tip
As the best bet idea for Sunday, I put Southampton’s cheering up. The team’s disastrous fall “culminated” last Sunday in a completely spiritless and classless performance at home against Tottenham. Southampton deservedly lost that match 0–5. After the game, the head coach looked completely hopeless Russell Martin I got to leave the club. In this match, Southampton will be coached by a temporary coach Simon Ruskbut a new big fish is already in the sights, because the former Roma manager Ivan Juric is taking the Southampton bait. Martin’s departure alone might raise Southampton’s level here, as the team was mostly paralyzed in its previous matches. Even though Southampton belongs to the bottom of the Premier League, its level is still not infinitely weaker than, for example, Fulham. Now, in betting, Southampton gets pretty big handicaps for my taste, when the main line is +1.25 goals. Southampton +1.25 with odds of 1.75 is exactly a borderline case in my estimations. Fulham – Southampton starts at 16:00.
Matches of the day: SheffW–Stoke 1 (coefficient 2.06), Getafe–Mallorca over 1.5 goals (coefficient 1.82), Osasuna–Athletic Bilbao over 2.0 goals (coefficient 1.74)
Total balance of the day’s games for the year: 189/350/97%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.