Juve, what is needed on the last day for cup qualification: the accounts

Without a win in Udine, Allegri might not finish in the top four even net of penalties. The scenarios before the last day, starting with the certainty of the Conference League

What does Juventus still have to play for on Sunday in Udine? The climate is from the end of the season and not from now: not since the defeat at the Stadium against Milan, but for at least ten days, and Allegri himself has admitted that the curtain has fallen after the elimination in Seville. In reality, after the plea agreement on the salary maneuver put a stone on any further penalties, the Lady’s season still has an important verdict to give. On the field.

THE CHAMPIONS

On the last night at the Stadium Allegri spoke of Juventus third for points scored on the pitch, 69 if there weren’t the 10 penalty (moreover a position lost compared to 90 minutes earlier). An obvious objective, beyond what is explicitly stated, is to finish the season – precisely for points scored, net of the penalty – in what would be the Champions League area, to say that we have arrived there on the field, regardless of the rest (such as whether that should be the Lady’s goal). And if for weeks succeeding seemed a certainty, solid until the beginning of April before losing five of the last nine games, now 90 minutes from the end it is no longer. The numbers: without penalties, Juve today would be +2 behind Milan in fifth place. Therefore, if the Rossoneri win the last match against Verona and the Bianconeri fail to do the same in Udine, Allegri would also be out of the Champions League in terms of points on the pitch, net of penalties.

THE EUROPE LEAGUE

After the -10 ruling a week ago, but also after losing the last two games played, in Empoli and against Milan, Juve ended up in seventh place. He arrives at the final day -2 from Atalanta in fifth place and -1 from Roma in sixth place, the contenders for a place in the Europa League, only because the Nerazzurri and Giallorossi also lost on Saturday, in a general nail-down. Allegri can therefore still enter the top six in the standings by winning on the last day in Udine if Atalanta does not win against Monza (if they draw, Juve ahead in direct matches) and Roma do not win against Spezia at risk of relegation. Closing with qualification for the Europa League would give something more to “put on the plate” in view of possible UEFA sanctions.

THE CONFERENCE LEAGUE

But the closure of the second trend without penalties in the meantime gives the certainty of closing the season at least with qualification for the Conference League. European qualification useful in truth not so much for the luster or technical value of the Conference League, but (also in this case) precisely to have an “expendable” participation in the cups to trigger any Uefa sanctions immediately and not in a year.

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