Sevilla, who had a bad start to the season, has woken up in La Liga.
Jorge Sampaoli has improved Sevilla’s game recently. PDO
The most interesting game of the day
Sevilla, stuck at the bottom of the league table since the beginning of the season in La Liga, has recently significantly improved its playing and results.
Famous Argentinian Jorge Sampaoli your ear Julen Lopetegui In the coaching of Sevilla already at the beginning of October, after the team had won only one of their first seven league games.
Sampaoli’s and Lopetegui’s game philosophies are completely different, and it has taken the team a long time to adopt the new commander’s way of playing.
However, based on the last matches, Sevilla is in a strong upward trend despite its injury concerns. In La Liga, Sevilla have won three of their previous four matches, and on Thursday in the playoffs of the Europa League, PSV fell 3–0 at home after a good performance.
In La Liga, Sevilla will face this season’s most positive surprise, Rayo Vallecano, on Sunday. In the fall, Rayo was traditionally offered a place in the relegation battle, and it was predicted that at the end of the season, it would change the level to the second league.
Measured by the championship coefficients, Rayo was ranked as the weakest team in the series during the season. Considering this, its current sixth place in the standings with a balance of 9-6-6 goals 28–23 is a huge blow.
However, there is no question of any huge overperformance with Rayo, because for example, in my own shadow league table based on game events, Rayo is number 8 and in the statistics of Understat.com, which ranks teams in terms of expected goals, number 11. However, there has been a little luck in Rayo’s journey so far.
Even so, the fact that Veikkaus now places Rayo as a clear favorite against Sevilla in a good mood seems worth challenging, at the very least.
Due to their Europa League games, Sevilla is in a tougher match jam than Rayo, and the rest advantage is certainly on the home team’s side. The line-up information is also in Rayo’s favor, as it gets to tonight’s game with practically the best possible crew.
Sevilla are missing defenders due to injuries Karim Rekik and Marcao and a duo from the midfield Bean Gomez and Jesus Corona. In addition, those who play a defensive role in the midfield are also suspended Nemanja Gudelj and Joan Jordan. Of course, these have a big impact on Sevilla’s playing power, but despite the shortcomings, Sevilla gets a perfectly adequate group.
In my opinion, Veikkaus has now overreacted both to Sevilla’s strain and to the missing players. As a general note, Sevilla’s lineup against Rayo will now be slightly more attack-oriented than normal.
Rayo–Sevilla kicks off at 5:15 p.m.
The best betting tip of the day
In terms of betting, it is now possible to build a pretty good set of games for the Rayo–Sevilla match, when both the underdog Sevilla and the goal-scoring side have too high odds.
By playing +0.25-handicap Sevilla at odds of 1.85 and over 2.0 goals in the entire match at odds of 1.80, we get to a situation where the bet is winning in many different scenarios and is a steep loser really only with Rayo’s 1-0 win.
It is also worth noting that the usually difficult Vallecas has not been an insurmountable deterrent for Sevilla in recent seasons, as Rayo’s previous home win over Sevilla was seven games ago in the 2011-2012 season.
In terms of goals, Veikkaus considers both Rayo and Sevilla to be super low-goal teams. Of course, they know how to score few goals, but for example, in the three previous matches played in Vallecas, a total of 11 goals have been scored.
When playing against each other, the teams’ fast-paced playing styles often result in matches with more goals than expected. I now see a clearly higher probability for this scenario than Veikkaus’ estimates. The game set is valid as is until the coupon.
On the snooker side today, it wouldn’t be wrong to try to make a statement in the final of the Welsh Open from someone who is playing his best game in a long time by Robert Milkins on behalf of.
As a hint, I raise the +2.5-frame leveling Milkins Shaun Murphy against with a coefficient of 1.75.
Shaun Murphy-Robert Milkins is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m.
Games of the day:
Rayo–Sevilla +0.25 2 (odds 1.85)
Rayo–Sevilla, over 2.0 goals (odds 1.80)
Shaun Murphy–Robert Milkins+2.5 2 (odds 1.75)
The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 17/31/96%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.