Despite recovery: Expert warns of drastic consequences at current Bitcoin levels

A crypto analyst warns of a drastic fall in prices on the crypto market. One price mark in particular worries the expert when it comes to Bitcoin.
Values in this article
currency
75,497.7637 CHF -3,592.9026 CHF -4.54%
82,159.7555 EUR -3,575.8294 EUR -4.17%
72,662.5990 GBP -3,154.6685 GBP -4.16%
14,731,371.5815 JPY -687,416.3998 JPY -4.46%
$95,572.7174 -4,143.9408 USD -4.16%
• BTC well below record levels despite recovery
• Analyst brings STH Price and LTH Price into play
• Concern about price levels
The crypto veteran Bitcoin has once again experienced strong fluctuations this year. Although there has been a total increase of around twelve percent since the start of the year, Bitcoin is currently a world away from its highs, which were over 126,000 US dollars in October. Although there has recently been a recovery in the crypto market due to hopes of an end to the shutdown in the USA, one market expert is still concerned about the current price level.
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Important price mark could decide direction
Ali Martinez, who is known for his analysis of chart patterns and on-chain signals, stated in a post on X that the $111,937 price mark is crucial for Bitcoin. If the cryptocurrency continues to trade below this Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH) of $111,937, the expert more likely sees the Realized Price of $56,145 or even the Long-Term Holder Realized Price of $37,815 as a potential target for the crypto veteran.
The longer Bitcoin $BTC stays below the STH Realized Price ($111,937), the higher the probability of a move toward the Realized Price ($56,145) or even the LTH Realized Price ($37,815). pic.twitter.com/OVYC4K7lrI
-Ali (@ali_charts) November 9, 2025
The Short-Term Holder Realized Price (STH) is the average purchase price of cryptocurrencies by investors who have held their coins for less than 155 days. With this in mind, it is an important analytical value that provides insight into current market sentiment while providing clues into how to understand the potential selling behavior of short-term traders as well as price levels where short-term support or resistance may lie.
The Long-Term Holder Realized Price (LTH) is also the average purchase price of Bitcoin by investors who have already held their holdings for longer than 155 days.
Bitcoin is currently well below the important mark
A Bitcoin is currently trading at around 98,241 US dollars, well below the short-term holder realized price.
Investors probably shouldn’t be worried yet, because the significance of STH and LTH as short-term trading indicators is considered limited – after all, both prices are based on past transactions, not on future expectations. Nevertheless, they are certainly relevant as cyclical indicators, as they provide information about the price level that prompted speculative investors to enter and that which represents the “floor price” of convinced investors.
Editorial team finanzen.net
