Key Takeaways
The course tendency for gold is towards down!
Our interpretation compared to the previous week has not changed. Gold must establish itself bindingly above the SMA20 on the top. If this succeeds, the precious metal must subsequently detach dynamically from this line to the north in order to avoid a false outbreak. So far, this has not yet been depicted resilient. If this price patterns are set up, our overarching start-up destinations could be achieved at $ 3,429/32 or $ 3,455/$ 58.
⇒ written by Jens Chrzanowski | Berlin
► Gold WKN: 965515 | ISIN: XC0009655157 | Ticker: gold
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Current Gold analysis on July 26th, 2025: Chart analysis, weekly outlook, trading setups and more – for active day traders
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Latest news about Gold Trading 🔴 Gold Trade ideas 🔴 Gold Forecast & outlook
🔙 Gold forecast – Review of the trading week (07/21/2025 – 25.07.2025)
At the beginning of the week, the gold price included $ 3,366.6 And was $ 9.10 above the level of the previous week. Already on Monday, gold was able to start an upward movement that brought the precious metal to the brand of almost $ 3,400. After a short reset in early retail on Tuesday, the upward trend continued and reached a weekly high at $ 3,430 in the evening. The outbreak of $ 3,428.9 confirmed our short -term gold forecast.
QUelle: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on July 26, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in USD. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
In the middle of the week, Gold was not able to overcome the $ 3,430 $ 3,430. Profit treatment ensured consolidation that lasted until Thursday and Friday. It was only on Friday afternoon that a small recovery succeeded towards $ 3,340. The closing date was included $ 3,337.7with which a small weekly loss was recorded.
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🔑 Gold analysis – resistance and support
Resistance: 3,340.7-3,345.7-3,350.4-3,365.5-3,382.7-3,412.4-3,429.8 US dollars
Support: 3,324,2-3,309.2-3,298.8-3,282.8-3,274,4-3,258.9-3,204.1
Based on our trade setup:
Gold forecast – Chartcheck Daily & 4h
Daily analysis:
QUelle: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on July 26, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in USD. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
Gold successfully tested the SMA20 ($ 3,345.7) and SMA50 ($ 3,340.7). The upward movement up to $ 3,430 reached our start-up destination exactly. However, a phase of weakness dominated from the middle of the week. As long as gold does not remain over the SMA20, there is a risk of further reset directions 3,250-3,204 US dollars.
4h chart analysis:
QUelle: XStation55 by XTB, recorded on July 26, 2025. Time history according to the information directly in the chart. Past results are not an indicator of future performance. The trade instrument is noted in USD. Possible currency fluctuations can affect the return.
In the 4h chart, gold fell under the SMA200 ($ 3,350.4)what the chart image clouds bears. Recovers would have to overcome at least the SMA200 and SMA50 to get the momentum back.
💹⏳ For active day traders, trading setups gold:
- 📈 Long setup (Upward movement)
According to our current Gold analysis the precious metal could initially endeavor above the $ 3,337.7 to stabilize. If this succeeds, the next starting goals are included 3,339.6,, 3,343.1,, 3,346.8,, 3,349.2,, 3,352.7,, 3,355.5,, 3,357.6,, 3,359.8,, 3,362.5,, 3,364.7,, 3,365.6,, 3,368.1,, 3,370.2,, 3,373.8,, 3,377.5,, 3,379.9,, 3,383.1 and $ 3,385.5.
A sustainable outbreak over $ 3,385.5 would open up further upward potential. The next price goals are then included 3,387.9,, 3,390.2,, 3,392.8,, 3,395.0,, 3,397.7,, 3,399.8,, 3.401.2,, 3.404.0,, 3,407.1,, 3.410.2,, 3,412.9,, 3.415.1,, 3.417.8,, 3,420.3,, 3.423.0,, 3,425.8,, 3,428.9 and the overarching goal $ 3,430.5.
- 📉 Short setup (Downward movement)
Gold fails to get over the $ 3,337.7 To claim, according to ours Gold forecast to a decline in the next support zones 3,333.5,, 3,330.6,, 3,328.7,, 3,326.5,, 3,324.1,, 3,321.1,, 3,318.7,, 3,316.4,, 3,314.0,, 3,312.1,, 3,310.1,, 3,307.9,, 3,304.1,, 3,301.5,, 3.298.4 and finally $ 3,295.7 come.
Below $ 3,295.7 the downward scenario expands 3,292.9,, 3.289.4,, 3.286.6,, 3.284.0,, 3.281.1,, 3.278.8,, 3.275.3,, 3.272.1,, 3.269.0,, 3.266.7,, 3.264.1,, 3.262.0,, 3.258.9,, 3.256.1 and the final goal at $ 3,253.8 out of.
📝 Conclusion on gold, forecast
Conclusion: For a new upward push, gold has to assert itself over the SMA20 at the time of the day. Target zones on the top are 3,430 and 3,455 US dollars. Below 3,337 US dollars focus on 3,310 and $ 3,295.
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Important NOTE: Opportunities & Risks in Gold Trade
Financies offer both opportunities and risks:
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Long -term investments without levers often show fluctuations between 3 % and 10 % per year
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In CFD trading, such profits or losses within Minutes or hours arise
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The following applies to both: these are average values, it can be much more or much less! Opportunities and risks basically go hand-in-hand.
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