Captain Joonas Nättinen returns to Ilves’ playing lineup.
Joonas Nättinen will return to Ilves’ lineup on Monday. Elmeri Elo / All Over Press
The most interesting game of the day
Ilves, who started the league semi-final series against Tappara like a storm, has let his grip on the final place slip away, potentially fatally.
The team’s actions in all the matches of this series have been characterized by softness. In the first two matches, that didn’t affect/was seen on the scoreboard as Tappara was lacking in game speed and defense.
As soon as the first difficulties appeared (the beginning of the triple game Otto Latvala 5+10-minute cooldown and two yv goals by Tappara that followed) Ilves hasn’t come up with anything to prevent Tappara from joining the series.
Of course, Tappara has also improved, but a large part of the turn of the series still goes to the fact that Ilves lacks/has lacked a gear to confuse the opponent.
In Tappara, one chain has been put together for this. by Emil Sylvegård all you have to do is grimace, and Ilves has shrunk. The same actually applies to the entire squad and coaching. Rikard Grönborg has taken the position of commander in the coaching sector.
Ilves’ weakness can also be seen on the data side in goal-scoring situations. In this series, Ilves has scored 13 goals with an expectation of 14.2 goals, while Tappara, on the other hand, is deadly effective, scoring 11.2 goals with an expectation of 12.0 goals.
The difference in the numbers is not big, but when the continuation is clear from the regular season, this has had and will have an effect, unless Ilves comes up with something. In the regular season, the difference between Ilves’ goal difference and what they expected was -20 goals, while for Tappara it was +23 goals. From small streams etc…
There is also a certain difference in the superiority efficiency of Ilves and Tappara in this series. Ilves has succeeded twice with a percentage of 12.50% and Tappara three times with a percentage of 23.08. Even visually, Tappara’s superiority comes from more clinical conditions.
Today, Ilves is trying to get more toughness by bringing back a captain to its lineup Joonas Nättinen. Also Toni Utunen returns to the ring replacing the weak one Sebastian Soin. by Peter Quenneville placement in a triple chain Samuli Ratinen instead, it seems like a strange solution.
Tappara plays with exactly the same chain compositions as in the vito game.
Playing with Ilves’ goalkeeper choices is over today, and the clear first choice starts with the goal Dominik Pavlat (92.44% / 1.68 / -2.88). Tapparalla is in the goal as usual Christian Heljanko (91.45% / 1.98 / -3.11). I personally give Tappara a pretty big advantage in this sector because of the feel of the game and trust in the goalkeeping.
In terms of betting, the power ratios and odds meet quite well on a scale of 2.70/3.60/2.54. Tappara should be a marginal favourite, but only a marginal one.
Ilves is still a possible success, if the mental burden and fear of defeat have not grown too large. At the Pelicans Tommi Niemelän the teams were not afraid to play in tight spots. As the best bet for the match, I raise the 1.70 odds offered for more than 4.5 goals.
Ilves–Tappara starts at 18:30.
The best betting tip of the day
Monday’s best bet search can be found on Tuesday’s side in the morning game of the World Snooker competitions Mark Allen–Barry Hawkins.
Hawkins was in his previous match Mark Williams against confusingly good (won 13–9). Even Hawkins, who certainly played robotically, made almost no easy “unforced errors” in the match. The bagging also worked incredibly well, at least for me.
Playing at the same level, it wouldn’t be wrong to make Hawkins the favorite in the quarterfinals against Allen. Already in his previous World Cup match Matthew Stevens against Hawkins was great, winning 10–4. Of course, it must also be said about Allen that the Northern Irishman has played his best snooker in a couple of years in this tournament.
For me, Hawkins has almost never really tasted like an attraction, but here the odds of 2.03 are valid until the coupon. A little support for the Hawkins bet can also be sought from the fact that in the 2020s, Hawkins has won all three meetings between men with a combined score of 17–8.
Allen–Hawkins is marked to start on Tuesday at 12:00.
The best search in the league is KooKoo’s regular time victory over SaiPa with a coefficient of 3.00. This also starts at 18:30.
Games of the day: Mark Allen–Barry Hawkins 2 (odds 2.03).
The total balance of the day’s games for the year: 55/88/114%
Every day Iltalehti chooses the most interesting game of the day and the best game destination of the day. You can always find them in the Betting and Ravit section.
