In the 25 years during which this study was conducted, only seven times the index of economic hope in Russia had a positive value, that is, the number of people expecting economic prosperity was more than the number of those who expected difficulties next year. This was in 2003, 2004, 2006, 2007, 2009, 2010 and 2015. The maximum value is plus 9 p.p. – the index reached in 2006.
Russian respondents assess the economic prospects more pessimistic than the inhabitants of the planet as a whole. Globally, the proportion of those expecting economic prosperity in 2022 was 26%, and those preparing for problems – 41%. Thus, the global index of economic hope turned out to be at minus 26 p.p.
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In the EU countries there were as many pessimists as in Russia – 53%, but in the USA there are much less of them – 43%. There are 14% of optimists in the EU and 21% in the US (compared to 11% in Russia).
Europe, especially Eastern Europe, looks more pessimistic, and this pattern has been observed in polls for many years, the study noted. Economic hardship expectations are most common in Bosnia and Herzegovina (72%), Bulgaria (64%), Poland (64%), Romania (61%), Germany (59%), as well as Turkey (72%) and Afghanistan (60 %).
Developing regions, on the other hand, are “more resilient and hopeful.” The reason is that national optimism is not only a matter of well-being, but also a matter of the average age of the population and the perception of future growth opportunities, the study authors say. The leaders in terms of optimism include Nigeria (61%), Indonesia (58%), Vietnam (55%), Azerbaijan (52%), Albania and India (49% each).
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