The Tesla share is becoming increasingly in the suction of Donald Trump’s erratic trade policy. Accordingly, analysts become more careful and collect their price targets for the e-car pioneer in rows.
• Tesla share under pressure
• Analysts see tariffs as a strong stress factor
• Numerous analysts reduce their price target for Tesla
Initially, Tesla was considered a so-called Trump trade-i.e. as a profiteer of Donald Trump’s election victory in the last US presidential election. But now the wind has turned and the Tesla share is currently under enormous pressure. Since the beginning of the year she has lost over a third of her value and now only noted at $ 241.55 (as of April 16, 2025). An important factor here is the aggressive trade policy of the new US government.
Lower analysts
Last week, UBS reduced its price for the Tesla share from 225 to $ 190 because it feared that the vehicle supplies from the electric car manufacturer will shrink by eleven percent in 2025. “Although lower estimates for 2025 are now widespread, we believe that the entire earnings forecast for [Tesla] Furthermore, it is too optimistic … “,” Investopedia “quotes from a communication by the major Swiss bank. The UBS analysts expect that the share price” volatile, but tend to be downwards “.
In addition, the Mizuho analysts also lowered their price target and they will only see the Tesla share in twelve months at $ 375. They assume that the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump will increase the prices for Tesla vehicles and that the declining demand will further weaken.
Donald Trump has decided on a break for reciprocal tariffs for most trading partners, but they continue to apply to goods from China – including car batteries and their components. In addition, there is a 25 percent import duty on cars, which, according to Mizuho, drives up the prices, deter consumers and potentially press Tesla’s US turnover in 2025 by 3.5 percent.
At UBS, too, the tariffs can be seen as a major stress factor for Tesla: “Even if the reduction of mutual tariffs reduces the risk of recession or decline in demand, we point out that the auto tariffs are sector -specific and not the subject of bilateral trade negotiations,” said UBS. “In our view, you will remain for the foreseeable future.” Due to the tariffs, a “new era” for the US auto industry could begin: “Production interruptions are likely … and supply chains that have been optimized for decades may have to be completely rethought,” said the Swiss fear.
Also last week, the well-known analyst and Tesla-Bulle Dan Ives von Wedbus drastically reduced its price target for the Tesla share-from $ 550 to $ 315. IVES argues that the procurement of parts such as battery cells from China are a problem due to the effects of tariffs for Tesla.
Analysts split
Tipranks shows how far the opinions on the market go apart. In the past three months, a total of 38 Wall Street analysts have issued a 12-month course goal for Tesla. While 16 analysts recommend the paper to buy, eleven rates to keep the stock and eleven analysts would sell the paper. The average price target is around $ 304.14 around 26 percent above the current price level. The highest price target is $ 465.00 and the lowest $ 120.00.
Editor finance.net
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