“I double the bet: If we win on Sunday, on Monday we will all fight live on La Misa. If you want to see me bald, vote for the Colorado,” he posted Diego Santilli on his X account. The candidate for national deputy for the province of Buenos Aires from La Libertad Avanza attended the streaming program hosted by the famous tweeter Daniel Parisini and proposed a curious challenge.
In The Mass, the cycle presented by the Fat Dan in Fuck TV, Santilli challenged: “If we win on Sunday, we will all fight on Monday.” Before the surprised gaze of the program’s panelists, Parisini asked if he was referring to winning the election at the national level or only in the province of Buenos Aires, to which the leader confirmed that he was aiming for a provincial victory. The host and guest shook hands in agreement.
In the province of Buenos Aires—which concentrates a significant percentage of the national electoral roll—the mid-term legislative elections are a key scenario to measure the political pulse of the country. The recent provincial electoral test left the Peronist Fuerza Patria bloc as the winner with around 47% of the votes compared to the almost 34% obtained by LLA. This result—apart from defining local seats—acquires a national dimension, as it anticipates possible balances of power in the National Congress and conditions the government’s strategy.
Homeland Force It is presented as the force that articulates Buenos Aires Peronism under a broad alliance that includes the Justicialista Party, to the Renewal Front, to the Grande Front and other provincial groups. Its strategy in the province has been twofold: on the one hand, reinforcing the territorial presence—especially in the First and Third Electoral Section—by using provincial management as the axis of the campaign. On the other hand, his speech aims to contrast his model with that of the national government, denouncing adjustment and the loss of rights as a mobilizing axis.
For its part, Freedom Advances arrives in Buenos Aires territory with the aspiration of expanding its national base and imposing its narrative of “freedom” versus “caste.” The movement led by the Milei brothers is committed to positioning itself as the only anti-Kirchnerist bloc, and in the Buenos Aires province it seeks to capitalize on the alliance with the PRO. His strategy included stormy provincial tours by the president to endorse local candidates and a media campaign focused on security and tax reductions. However, the provincial setback in the Buenos Aires elections and the scandal of José Luis Espert forced the coalition to revise its expectations regarding the national number.
The rest of the coalitions — including moderate spaces such as Somos Buenos Aires or the Left Front and Workers Unity (FIT-U) — adopt a secondary role in this highly polarized scenario. These blocks barely exceeded 4-5% of the vote in the last provincial test. Looking ahead to the national elections on October 26, the province of Buenos Aires continues to be a strategic district.
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